Skip to main content

Development of Robust Measures of Attitude Towards Risk

  • Chapter
  • 231 Accesses

Part of the book series: Advances in Risk Analysis ((AIRA,volume 8))

Abstract

The concept of an attitude towards risk that is unique to the individual is used in predicting and prescribing preferred responses to risk. Because it is expensive and time consuming to measure attitude towards risk, one measurement or estimate of an individual’s risk attitude is often used to predict or prescribe actions in different decision contexts. However, empirical evidence shows that one of the most commonly used measures of risk attitude, the Arrow-Pratt coefficient of absolute risk aversion, varies over time, income levels and decision contexts. It can be shown that for the Arrow-Pratt coefficient to be a reliable indicator of risk attitude, individuals must exhibit (1) constant marginal utility for money, (2) homogeneous preferences, and (3) coherence of preference orderings over certainty and uncertainty. Experimental data indicate consistent violation of these conditions. As a result, the Arrow-Pratt coefficient confounds risk attitude and strength of preference for particular goods. A new measure of intrinsic risk attitude that removes the confounding influence of strength of preference for particular goods is developed and its use demonstrated.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. K. Arrow, Aspects of the Theory of Risk Bearing, Helsinki, Yrjo Jahhssonin Saatio (1965).

    Google Scholar 

  2. J. Pratt, Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large, Econometrica 32:122–136 (1964).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern, The Theory of Games, Princeton University Press, Princeton (1944).

    Google Scholar 

  4. D. Bell and H. Raiffa, Marginal Value and Intrinsic Risk Aversion, Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 79-65 (1979).

    Google Scholar 

  5. J. Dyer and R. Sarin, Relative Risk Aversion, Management Science 28:875–886 (1982).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. B. Fleisher, A New Measure of Attitude Towards Risk, unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Michigan State University Department of Agricultural Economics (1985).

    Google Scholar 

  7. A. Tversky, Additive Utility and Subjective Probability, Journal of Mathematical Psychology 4:175–201 (1967).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. G. Fischer, Multidimensional Utility Models for Risky and Riskless Choice, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 17:127–146 (1976).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. R. Keeney, Multiplicative Utility Functions, Operations Research 22:22–34 (1974).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. R. Krzysztofowicz, Strength of Preference and Risk Attitude in Utility Measurement, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 31:88–113 (1983).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. P. Fishburn and R. Keeney, Seven Independence Concepts and Continuous Multiattribute Utility Functions, Journal of Mathematical Psychology 11:294–327 (1974).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. P. Fishburn and R. Keeney, Generalized Utility Independence and Some Implications, Operations Research 23:928–940 (1975).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. D. Krantz, H. Luce, P. Suppes, and A. Tversky, Foundations of Measurement, Vol. 1, Academic Press, New York (1971).

    Google Scholar 

  14. R. Roskies, A Measurement Axiomatization for an Essentially Multiplicative Representation of Two Factors, Journal of Mathematical Psychology 2:266–267 (1965).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. R. Keeney and H. Raiffa, Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs, John Wiley and Sons, New York (1976).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1991 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Fleisher, B. (1991). Development of Robust Measures of Attitude Towards Risk. In: Zervos, C., Knox, K., Abramson, L., Coppock, R. (eds) Risk Analysis. Advances in Risk Analysis, vol 8. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-0730-1_43

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4899-0730-1_43

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4899-0732-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4899-0730-1

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics