Abstract
Probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) of nuclear reactor risks has grown considerably since the first major application was performed in 1975. However, PRA today remains an art and is by no means a codified science. The deficiencies and uncertainties in PRA need to be recognized in order for the results and analyses to be meaningfully utilized in decision making. Specific approaches and techniques can be devised to extract the robust conclusions from a PRA which are not sensitive to uncertainties and questionable assumptions. The specific tasks which are identified will strengthen the PRA field if they are carried out.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Reactor Safety Study: An Assessment of Accident Risks in U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power Plants, WASH-1400, NUREG-75/014 (October, 1975).
U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Safety Goals for Nuclear Power Plants: A Discussion NUREG-0880 (February, 1982).
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, PRA Procedures Guide Volumes 1 and 2, Revision 1, NUREG/CR-2300 (April, 1982).
J. G. Waddington and A. Wild, The Fault Tree as a Tool in Safety Analysis in Nuclear Power Plants; Atomic Energy Control Board Report INFO-0036 (June 10, 1981).
C. A. Kukielka, J. W. Minarick, and R. L. Scott, Potential Precursors to Severe Core Damage: Status Summary Report, Oak Ridge Project Report (January, 1981).
H. F. DeFrancesco, Quantitative Analysis Methods for Substantive Analysis, Wiley (1975).
J. O. Berger, Statistical Decision Theory, Springer-Verlag (1980).
K. L. Fleming and P. H. Raabe, A Comparison of Three Methods for the Quantitative Analysis of Common Cause Failures, GA-A14568 (May, 1978).
A. D. Swain and H. E. Guttmann, Handbook of Reliability Analysis with Emphasis on Nuclear Power Plant Applications, NUREG/ CR-1278 (October, 1980).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1984 Springer Science+Business Media New York
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Vesely, W.E. (1984). Robust Risk Analysis: The Need for it in Nuclear Probabilistic Risk Evaluations. In: Waller, R.A., Covello, V.T. (eds) Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis. Advances in Risk Analysis, vol 2. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1818-8_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1818-8_10
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-1-4757-1820-1
Online ISBN: 978-1-4757-1818-8
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive