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Triangles in Heterosexual HIV Transmission

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AIDS Epidemiology

Abstract

A model for HIV transmission is presented which treats concurrent partnerships in the heterosexual population. The basic reproduction number R 0 is calculated as a function of behavorial parameters for the duration of partnerships and for contact rates with primary and secondary partners. The threshold condition for an epidemic, R 0>1, is used to derive minimum bounds for the number of partners of an infected index case during the infectious period. If one takes into account the total number of contacts during the infectious period, the values for R 0 are similar for a given number of partners irrespective of whether the partnerships are consecutive or concurrent. To what extent R 0 can be estimated on the basis of behavioral data in a susceptible population is discussed.

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© 1992 Springer Science+Business Media New York

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Dietz, K., Tudor, D. (1992). Triangles in Heterosexual HIV Transmission. In: Jewell, N.P., Dietz, K., Farewell, V.T. (eds) AIDS Epidemiology. Birkhäuser, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1229-2_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1229-2_7

  • Publisher Name: Birkhäuser, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4757-1231-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4757-1229-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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