The 1958 Birth Cohort Study

  • Paul E. Tracy
  • Marvin E. Wolfgang
  • Robert M. Figlio
Part of the The Plenum Series in Crime and Justice book series (PSIC)


Delinquency in a Birth Cohort (Wolfgang et al., 1972) remains the only large-scale birth cohort study undertaken in the United States based upon a generalizable population. The delinquency careers of all boys born in 1945 who lived in Philadelphia from their tenth to their eighteenth birthdays were described, and parametric estimates of their offense rates and recidivism and desistance probabilities were computed. It is important to note that this study developed baseline cohort rates from a data source unlike any other previously investigated in this country: first offense, recidivism, and offense switching rates; offense severity escalation, disposition probabilities, and subsequent offensive behavior. All of these statistics and others can be estimated with validity only from longitudinal, preferably cohort, data.


Birth Cohort Census Tract Birth Cohort Study Master List Public School Student 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Copyright information

© Plenum Press, New York 1990

Authors and Affiliations

  • Paul E. Tracy
    • 1
  • Marvin E. Wolfgang
    • 2
  • Robert M. Figlio
    • 3
  1. 1.College of Criminal JusticeNortheastern UniversityBostonUSA
  2. 2.Sellin Center for Studies in Criminology and Criminal Law, Wharton SchoolUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaUSA
  3. 3.University of California, RiversideRiversideUSA

Personalised recommendations