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The Epidemic Initiation Model

  • James C. Frauenthal
Part of the The UMAP Expository Monograph Series book series (UMAP)

Abstract

The epidemic begins with the arrival in a disease-free area of an individual infected with smallpox, but not yet manifesting any symptoms. The infective arrives unnoticed and unknowingly transmits the disease to others; hence initially the epidemic grows out of control. Before too long, however, one or another of the infected individuals shows symptoms and is diagnosed as a carrier of smallpox. Once the disease is discovered, the initial phase of the epidemic is over.

Keywords

Random Walk Susceptible Individual Total Population Size Simple Random Walk Social Custom 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Education Development Center, Inc. 1981

Authors and Affiliations

  • James C. Frauenthal
    • 1
  1. 1.Applied Mathematics and StatisticsState University of New YorkStony BrookUSA

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