Abstract
A baseline forecast of automotive fuels through 1990 is provided. No distinction is made regarding the nature of this fuel (gasoline, diesel fuel, no lead, octane rating, etc.) since the analysis does not specify or evaluate engine technologies. The baseline forecast is developed from a multi-equation model which explicitly considers the fuel efficiency of new cars, the sales and market shares of new cars, used car scrappage and vehicle miles traveled. The factors which affect the demand for automobiles, the characteristics of automobiles demanded and the demand for travel are discussed. A brief model documentation is provided.
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© 1977 Springer Science+Business Media New York
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Hemphill, R.F., Difiglio, C. (1977). Future Demand for Automotive Fuels. In: Colucci, J.M., Gallopoulos, N.E. (eds) Future Automotive Fuels. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2334-1_1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-2334-1_1
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-1-4684-2336-5
Online ISBN: 978-1-4684-2334-1
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