Abstract
The innovation of complex technologies is now widely regarded as the major “engine” of modern economies. Complex technologies are those that cannot be understood in full detail by an individual expert sufficiently to communicate all the details across time and distance to other experts. The trend toward complexity is suggested by Figure 1, which shows that in 1970 complex technologies comprised 53% of the thirty most valuable world manufactures exports. By 1996, that number had grown to 76%.
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© 2001 Springer Science+Business Media New York
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Kash, D.E., Rycroft, R. (2001). Forecasting the Innovation of Complex Technologies. In: Ragsdell, G., Wilby, J. (eds) Understanding Complexity. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-1313-1_20
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-1313-1_20
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
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