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The Bi-Currency Balance Sheet Model of Latent Currency Risk

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Abstract

One of the most notable empirical puzzles in pricing sovereign credit risk concerns the observed differences in credit spreads between emerging market (EM) sovereigns and identically rated G7 corporate borrowers. These differences can be seen on two axes: rating and maturity. For example, holding maturity constant at 5 years, Cantor and Packer (1996), economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, observed that sovereign debt issues from emerging markets with ratings below “A” were priced at consistently higher spreads relative to U.S. Treasuries than identically rated G7 corporate issuers. In contrast, spreads for sovereigns rated above “A” were equal or lower than comparable corporate debt. An example of this general finding is shown in Figure 1.

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© 2001 Springer Science+Business Media New York

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Morris, A.C. (2001). The Bi-Currency Balance Sheet Model of Latent Currency Risk. In: Figlewski, S., Levich, R.M. (eds) Risk Management: The State of the Art. The New York University Salomon Center Series on Financial Markets and Institutions, vol 8. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0791-8_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0791-8_12

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-5241-9

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