Forecasting Changes in Terror Group Behavior

  • Maria Vanina Martinez
  • Amy Sliva
  • Gerardo I. Simari
  • V. S. Subrahmanian


The ability to model, forecast, and analyze the behaviors of other agents has applications in many diverse contexts. For example, behavioral models can be used in multi-player games to forecast an opponent’s next move, in economics to forecast a merger decision by a CEO, or in international politics to predict the behavior of a rival state or group. Such models can facilitate formulation of effective mitigating responses and provide a foundation for decision-support technologies.



Some of the authors of this paper were funded in part by AFOSR grant FA95500610405, ARO grant W911NF0910206 and ONR grant N000140910685.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  • Maria Vanina Martinez
    • 1
  • Amy Sliva
    • 2
  • Gerardo I. Simari
    • 1
  • V. S. Subrahmanian
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of Computer ScienceUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
  2. 2.College of Computer and Information ScienceNortheastern UniversityBostonUSA
  3. 3.Department of Computer ScienceUniversity of Maryland College ParkCollege ParkUSA

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