Assessing Knowledge Ambiguity in the Creation of a Model Based on Expert Knowledge and Comparison with the Results of a Landscape Succession Model in Central Labrador

  • Frédérik Doyon
  • Brian R. Sturtevant
  • Michael J. Papaik
  • Andrew Fall
  • Brian Miranda
  • Daniel D. Kneeshaw
  • Christian Messier
  • Marie-Josée Fortin
  • Patrick M. A. James
Chapter

Abstract

Sustainable forest management (SFM) recognizes that the spatial and temporal patterns generated at different scales by natural landscape and stand dynamics processes should serve as a guide for managing the forest within its range of natural variability (Landres et al. 1999; Gauthier et al. 2008). Landscape simulation modeling is a powerful tool that can help encompass such complexity and support SFM planning (Messier et al. 2003). Forecasting the complex behaviors of a forested landscape involving patterns and processes that interact at multiple temporal and spatial scales poses significant challenges (Gunderson and Holling 2002). Empirical evidence for the functioning of key elements, such as succession and disturbance regimes, is crucial for model parameterization (Mladenoff 2004). However, reliable empirical data about the forest vegetation dynamics that arise in response to forest management and other disturbances may be scarce, particularly in remote areas where harvesting activity has been historically limited.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2012

Authors and Affiliations

  • Frédérik Doyon
    • 1
  • Brian R. Sturtevant
    • 2
  • Michael J. Papaik
    • 3
  • Andrew Fall
    • 4
    • 5
  • Brian Miranda
    • 2
  • Daniel D. Kneeshaw
    • 6
  • Christian Messier
    • 6
  • Marie-Josée Fortin
    • 7
  • Patrick M. A. James
    • 8
  1. 1.Département de Sciences Sociales, Secteur Foresterie, Centre d’Étude de la Forêt (CEF)Université du Québec en OutaouaisGatineauCanada
  2. 2.Institute for Applied Ecosystem Studies, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest ServiceRhinelanderUSA
  3. 3.Department of BiologySonoma State UniversityRohnert ParkUSA
  4. 4.Gowlland Technologies LtdLasqueti IslandCanada
  5. 5.Department of Resource and Environmental ManagementSimon Fraser UniversityBurnabyCanada
  6. 6.Département des Sciences Biologiques, Centre d’Étude de la Forêt (CEF), Institut des Sciences EnvironnementalesUniversité du Québec à MontréalMontréalCanada
  7. 7.Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of TorontoTorontoCanada
  8. 8.Department of Biological SciencesUniversity of AlbertaEdmontonCanada

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