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Demographic Change in the United States, 1970 – 2050

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Book cover Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations

Part of the book series: Springer Series in Statistics ((SBH))

Abstract

Population projections demonstrate the implications of sets of fertility, mortality, and migration rates, combined with an initial population age structure, for future population size and composition. Age-specific mortality rates are applied to project the living population forward in time; age-specific fertility rates are applied to project births. Immigrants and emigrants are typically added at the last stage. Projections make endogenous one of the most important determinants of demographic change, a population’s age structure. Populations with larger proportions over age 50, for example, have higher death rates and lower birth rates and growth rates, ceteris paribus.

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Authors
  1. Samuel H. Preston
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University, 2117 Campus Drive, 27708, Durham, NC, USA

    Kenneth G. Manton (Research Professor) (Research Professor)

  2. Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Medicine, Yale University, 60 College Street, Box 3333, 06510, New Haven, CT, USA

    Burton H. Singer

  3. NIH/NIA, Gateway Building, Room 2C234, 7201 Wisconsin Avenue, 20892, Bethesda, MD, USA

    Richard M. Suzman

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© 1993 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.

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Preston, S.H. (1993). Demographic Change in the United States, 1970 – 2050. In: Manton, K.G., Singer, B.H., Suzman, R.M. (eds) Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0_3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0_3

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-9334-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-9332-0

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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