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Empirical Validation of Richardson Models of Arms Races

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Abstract

Lewis Richardson’s (1960a, first published 1939) venture to develop a mathematical theory of arms races was initially brought to the attention of a wider audience when Anatol Rapoport (1957) published his review article “Lewis F. Richardson’s Mathematical Theory of War”. This piece unleashed a veritable avalanche of formal theorizing and empirical research about arms races in subsequent years. The wealth of theoretical and empirical arms race studies has been well-documented in bibliographies (Cioffi-Revi1la 1979) and reviews of the literature (Busch 1970, Moll and Luebbert 1980, Intriligator 1976, 1982). In modern textbooks, formal modelling of arms races is distinguished as one of the major scientific approaches to the study of international relations (Zinnes 1976), doctoral theses (e.g. Schrodt 1977, Smith 1978) and stimulating monographs (Nincic 1982) have emerged from the field.

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© 1984 Plenum Press, New York

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Rattinger, H. (1984). Empirical Validation of Richardson Models of Arms Races. In: Avenhaus, R., Huber, R.K. (eds) Quantitative Assessment in Arms Control. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-2805-6_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-2805-6_8

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4612-9727-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-2805-6

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