Advertisement

Demographic Trends Affecting the Age Structure of the Labor Force: 1950 to 2000

  • Howard N. FullertonJr.
Part of the NATO Conference Series book series (NATOCS, volume 24)

Abstract

The structure of the labor force depends on the structure of the underlying population and on labor force participation (activity) rates. These two factors are not independent, but synergistic. This paper will present an analysis of the demographic structure of the United States labor force in the last half of the twentieth century. “Technology,” as defined by the Office of Technology Assessment, includes “soft” technology, such as law, regulation, and indeed social custom, as well as the more conventional aspects of “hard” technology. Although the main thrust of his paper is descriptive, we will touch on some aspects of changes in technology on the composition of the future labor force.

Keywords

Labor Force Labor Force Participation Baby Boom Labor Force Participation Rate Baby Boom Generation 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Campbell, Arthur A., 1975, “Beyond the Demographic Transition,” Demography, p.549–561.Google Scholar
  2. Campbell, Arthur A., 1978, “Baby Boom to Birth Dearth and Beyond,” Annals, American Academy of Political and Social Sciences, p. 40–60.Google Scholar
  3. Crimmins, E.M., 1981, “The changing pattern of American mortality decline, 1940–77, and its implications for the future,” Population and Development Review, 7: 229–254.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Easterlin, Richard A., 1968, Population, Labor Force, and Long Swings in Economic Growth, General Series 86, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York.Google Scholar
  5. Easterlin, Richard A., 1980, Birth and Fortune: The Impact of Numbers on Personal Welfare, Basic Books, New York.Google Scholar
  6. Fries, James F., 1980, “Aging, natural death, and the compression of morbidity,” New England Journal of Medicine, 303:130–135.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. Fullerton, H.N., Jr., 1980, “The 1995 labor force: A first look,” Monthly Labor Review, p. 11–21.Google Scholar
  8. Jaffe, A.J. and Jeanne Clare Ridley, 1976, “Educational Attainment and the Labor Force Participation of White Women in the United States, 1930–1970,” Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section, 1976, American Statistics Association, Washington, D.C., 1976, pp. 434–439.Google Scholar
  9. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1982, “Projections of the Population of the United States: 1982 to 2040,” Series P-25, No. 922.Google Scholar
  10. Verbrugge, L.N., 1983, “Longer life but worsening health? Trends in health and mortality of middle-aged and older persons,” Center for Social Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Plenum Press, New York 1984

Authors and Affiliations

  • Howard N. FullertonJr.
    • 1
  1. 1.Office of Economic Growth and Employment ProjectionsBureau of Labor StatisticsWashington, DCUSA

Personalised recommendations