Predictive Model of Population Growth in China

  • Zhijiang Wang
  • Jixun Song
  • Xiaolong Zhang
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering book series (LNEE, volume 219)


The population projections must be based on three basic elements fertility function, mortality function, and migration functions. In order to build predictive mathematical model of China we use the age shift operator algorithm, consider the discrete changes in characteristics of the population over the year to indirectly deduce the parameters of the state variable as a variable factor. Relay on the continuous population model and integral mean value theorem, the eventual establishment of forecast China in the short to medium-term and long-term population development of a discrete model of differential equations.


Discrete model Reproductive mode function The average fertility rate Age-shift operator 


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag London 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Hebei United UniversityTangshan HebeiChina

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