Preliminary Requirements for a Knowledge Engineering Approach to Expert Judgment Elicitation in Probabilistic Safety Assessment

  • G. Guida
  • P. Baroni
  • G. Cojazzi
  • L. Pinola
  • R. Sardella
Conference paper


In this paper the problem of expert judgment (EJ) in Probabilistic Safety Assessment is recognised as a true knowledge problem. A critical analysis of traditional EJ methodologies leads to highlight some common weak points of theirs. The suggestion is made to reformulate the expert opinion issue in a Knowledge Engineering setting in order to reach a sound basis for comparison, integration and justification of expert knowledge and relevant uncertainty.

The proposed innovative approach is described in its goals, and requirements for its development are detailed.


Domain Expert Expert Judgment Knowledge Source Knowledge Engineer Uncertainty Management 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag London 1996

Authors and Affiliations

  • G. Guida
    • 1
  • P. Baroni
    • 1
  • G. Cojazzi
    • 2
  • L. Pinola
    • 2
  • R. Sardella
    • 3
  1. 1.DEAUniversità degli Studi di BresciaBresciaItaly
  2. 2.Joint Research Centre, ISISEuropean CommissionIspraItaly
  3. 3.DIEMUniversità degli Studi di BolognaBolognaItaly

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