Abstract
In Chap. 8 we laid out the rationale behind simulation (modeling) studies to ascertain the impact of interventions on reducing violence, particularly the national homicide rates in a cohort of males aged 18 in 2000. The interventions considered were nurse home visiting, a preschool intellectual enrichment program, and multisystemic therapy. In contrast with Chap. 8 that dealt with the impact of preventive interventions on the national homicide rate, this chapter deals with the impact of preventive and remedial interventions on local indicators of offending and victimization in the PYS (homicide offenders, homicide victims, arrests for violence, serious delinquency, and incarceration of offenders).
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
The exception was that aggressive problem behaviors from the youth’s self-report were not included because of studies showing that children, compared to adults, are not always the best reporters on their own aggression (Loeber, Green, & Lahey, 1990; Loeber, Green, Lahey, & Stouthamer-Loeber, 1989).
- 2.
Because the official records gave very inadequate information on the duration of incarceration, we made use of the following sources of information: At Wave A and Waves J–T, the caretaker reported incarcerations on the Family Health questionnaire. Beginning at Wave K for the oldest sample and Wave V for the youngest, the Subject Health questionnaire answered by the participant replaced Family Health and collected the same data about incarceration. Lifetime data on incarceration were also collected from the caretaker at Wave G. For the youngest sample at Waves L–T, the Caretaker Demographics questionnaire asked the reason for and duration of any separation from the caretaker, and incarcerations reported there were added to the construct. Beginning at Wave O for the oldest sample, the Subject Demographics questionnaire asked, “How would you describe the way you live now?”; if a participant described himself as incarcerated but the incarceration was not reported in any other questionnaire, the construct was set to missing because he had been incarcerated but we did not know the number of weeks. Beginning at Wave U for the oldest sample and Wave V for the youngest, that question specified whether the participant had been incarcerated all year or was incarcerated only at present; if all year, the construct was set to 52 weeks.
- 3.
The incarceration data are based on the youngest and oldest cohorts only.
- 4.
Again, the incarceration data are based on the youngest and oldest cohorts only.
References
Broidy, L. M., Nagin, D. S., Tremblay, R. E., Bates, J. E., Brame, B., Dodge, K. A., et al. (2003). Developmental trajectories of childhood disruptive behaviors and adolescent delinquency: A six-site, cross-national study. Developmental Psychology, 39, 222–245.
Cook, P. J., Ludwig, J., & Braga, A. A. (2005). Criminal records of homicide offenders. Journal of the American Medical Association, 294, 598–601.
Fabio, A., Cohen, J., & Loeber, R. (in press). Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage and the shape of the age-crime curve. American Journal of Public Health, in press.
Farrington, D. P. (1991). Childhood aggression and adult violence: Early precursors and later life outcomes. In D. J. Pepler & K. H. Rubin (Eds.), The development and treatment of childhood aggression (pp. 8–30). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
Hawkins, D. F., Laub, J. H., & Lauritsen, J. L. (1998). Race, ethnicity and serious juvenile offending. In R. Loeber & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Serious and violent juvenile offenders: Risk factors and successful interventions (pp. 30–46). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Lipsey, M. W., & Derzon, J. H. (1998). Predictors of violent or serious delinquency in adolescence and early adulthood: A synthesis of longitudinal research. In R. Loeber & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Serious and violent juvenile offenders: Risk factors and successful interventions (pp. 86–105). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Lipsey, M. W., & Wilson, D. B. (1998). Effective intervention with serious juvenile offenders: A synthesis of research. In R. Loeber & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Serious and violent juvenile offenders: Risk factors and successful interventions (pp. 313–345). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Lipsey, M. W., & Wilson, D. B. (2001). Practical meta-analysis. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Loeber, R., & Dishion, T. (1983). Early predictors of male delinquency: A review. Psychological Bulletin, 94, 68–99.
Loeber, R., & Farrington, D. P. (Eds.). (2001). Child delinquents: Development, intervention and service needs. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Loeber, R., Farrington, D. P., Stouthamer-Loeber, M., & White, H. R. (2008). Violence and serious theft: Development and prediction from childhood to adulthood. New York: Routledge.
Stouthamer-Loeber, M., Loeber, R., & Thomas, C. (1992). Caretakers seeking help for boys with disruptive and delinquent child behavior. Comprehensive Mental Health Care, 2, 159–178.
Weinrott, M. (1975). Manual for retrieval of juvenile court data. Eugene, OR: Evaluation Research Group. Unpublished manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Loeber, R., Stallings, R. (2011). Modeling the Impact of Interventions on Local Indicators of Offending, Victimization, and Incarceration. In: Young Homicide Offenders and Victims. Longitudinal Research in the Social and Behavioral Sciences: An Interdisciplinary Series. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9949-8_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9949-8_9
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY
Print ISBN: 978-1-4419-9948-1
Online ISBN: 978-1-4419-9949-8
eBook Packages: Behavioral ScienceBehavioral Science and Psychology (R0)