The Return of World Modeling
The eclipse of “The Limits to Growth” lasted for a period that we may take as approximately corresponding to the 1990s. Apart from a brief flaring of the debate resulting from the publication of the second version of LTG (Meadows et al. 1992; Nordhaus 1992a), during this period the scientific debate on LTG was basically muted and very few studies appeared that would pursue the subject of world modeling in general. The LTG controversy had made scientists wary of entering an area where it was very hard – if not impossible – to get funding and where the results obtained were sure to generate opposition in the reviewing process of scientific journals. In the popular press, LTG was cited almost only in order to define it as a thoroughly flawed study; if not a purposeful attempt of deceiving the public. Even the environmental movement, in its various shades and versions, had focused on concepts such as “sustainable development” (United Nations 1987) that, under several respects, could be taken as opposed to the idea that there exist limits to growth.
KeywordsResource Depletion World Modeling Base Case Scenario Positive Reappraisal Wrong Prediction
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