Commentary on Bayes’s Essay

  • Andrew I. Dale
Part of the Sources and Studies in the History of Mathematics and Physical Sciences book series (SHMP)


In the preceding chapter several points, arising from Bayes’s Essay, were either glossed over or omitted altogether. It is now time to fill in these lacunae, though certain of the topics to be discussed here will in fact undergo further development later in this tractate (in particular, we shall not consider here any elaboration of the main results of the Essay, and the Supplement to the Essay will be dealt with in Chapter 5).


Single Trial Unknown Event Uniform Prior Distribution Insufficient Reason Pairwise Independence 
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  1. 2.
    The Doctrine of Chances [1756, pp. 1–3].Google Scholar
  2. 16.
    See Maistrov [1974, p. 92].Google Scholar
  3. 19.
    See de Finetti [1932] and Feller [1966, p. 224].Google Scholar
  4. 32.
    See Dale [1982].Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 1999

Authors and Affiliations

  • Andrew I. Dale
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Mathematical StatisticsUniversity of NatalNatal, DurbanSouth Africa

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