Abstract
The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) revolution sweeping statistics is drastically changing how statisticians perform integration and summation. In particular, the Metropolis algorithm and Gibbs sampling make it straightforward to construct a Markov chain that samples from a complicated conditional distribution. Once a sample is available, then any conditional expectation can be approximated by forming its corresponding sample average. The implications of this insight are profound for both classical and Bayesian statistics. As a bonus, trivial changes to the Metropolis algorithm yield simulated annealing, a general-purpose algorithm for solving difficult combinatorial optimization problems.
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Lange, K. (2010). Markov Chain Monte Carlo. In: Numerical Analysis for Statisticians. Statistics and Computing. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-5945-4_26
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