Skip to main content

Longitudinal Data and Their Uses

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Handbook on Crime and Deviance

In the 1980 s, criminologists began to consider much more seriously the importance of pursuing longitudinal research on how antisocial behavior develops over the life course. Although there were many proponents of such an attempt (Blumstein, Cohen, & Nagin, 1978; Blumstein, Cohen, Roth, & Visher, 1986; Farrington, Ohlin, & Wilson, 1986), the proposition was not without its critics (Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1986, 1987, 1988). These skeptics argued that the endeavor would be too expensive, both monetarily and in opportunity costs, to be justified and that little would be gained over traditional cross-sectional research. Nothing could have been farther from the truth.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    RYDS also includes Phase 3, which follows the G2 subjects into their early thirties, and a related intergenerational study, which follows the children of G2 subjects (G3 s) for 10 yearly waves of interviews.

  2. 2.

    Each tract’s resident arrest rate, not its crime rate, was used because there is a substantial gap between where crimes occur and where offenders live. The correlation between 1986 arrest rates and crime rates across all of Rochester’s census tracts was only 0.26. This assumes that risk for being an offender is more highly related to coming from a neighborhood with a high rate of active offenders than coming from an area with a large number of crimes.

  3. 3.

    This does not necessarily refer to adjacent waves.

  4. 4.

    The fixed effects are individual and wave. We estimated the model by including dummy variables in the regression equation for all but one individual and one wave. Wave was fixed in order to control for any maturation effects.

  5. 5.

    This is because the RYDS sample is comprised of youth from high-risk neighborhoods.

References

  • Allison, P. D. (2006). Fixed effects regression models in SAS. SUGI 31, 1–20.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., & Nagin, D. (1978). Deterrence and incapacitation: Estimating the effects of sanctions on the crime rate. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., Roth, J. A., & Visher, C. A. (Eds.). (1986). Criminal careers and “Career Criminals” (Vol. 1). Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Earls, F. J., & Visher, C. A. (1997). Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods: A research update (PDF) [NIJ Research in Brief]. (Report no. NCJ-163603). Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, National Institute of Justice.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elliott, D. S., Huizinga, D. H., & Menard, S. (1989). Multiple problem youth: Delinquency, substance use, and mental health problems. New York: Springer-Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Farrington, D., Ohlin, L., & Wilson, J. Q. (1986). Understanding and controlling crime. New York: Springer-Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gottfredson, M., & Hirschi, T. (1986). The true value of lambda would appear to be zero: An essay on career criminals, criminal careers, selective incapacitation, cohort studies, and related topics. Criminology, 24, 213–234.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gottfredson, M., & Hirschi, T. (1987). The methodological adequacy of longitudinal research on crime. Criminology, 25, 581–614.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gottfredson, M., & Hirschi, T. (1988). Science, public policy, and the career paradigm. Criminology, 26, 37–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huizinga, D., Morse, B. J., & Elliott, D. S. (1992). The National Youth Survey: An overview and description of recent findings. Boulder, CO: Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liberman, A. M. (2007). Synthesizing recent longitudinal findings. In A. M Liberman (Ed.), The long view of crime: A synthesis of longitudinal research (pp. 3–20). New York: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lizotte, A. J., Krohn, M. D., Howell, J. C., Tobin, K., & Howard, G. J. (2000). Factors influencing gun carrying among young urban males over the adolescent-young adult life course. Criminology, 38, 811–834.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loeber, R., Farrington, D. P., Stouthammer-Loeber, M., Moffitt, T. E., & Caspi, A. (1998). The development of male offending: Key findings from the first decade of the Pittsburgh Youth Study. Studies on Crime and Crime Prevention, 7(2), 141–171.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nagin, D. S. (2005). Group-based modeling of development. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thornberry, T. P., Krohn, M. D., Lizotte, A. J., Smith, C. A., & Tobin, K. (2003). Gangs and delinquency in developmental perspective. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wolfgang, M. E., Thornberry, T. P., & Figlio, R. M. (1987). From boy to man, from delinquency to crime: Follow-up to the Philadelphia Birth Cohort of 1945. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wright, J. D., & Rossi, P. H. (1986). Armed and considered dangerous: A survey of felons and their firearms. New York: Aldine de Gruyter.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgment

Support for the Rochester Youth Development Study has been provided by the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (86-JN-CX-0007, 95-JD-FX-0015, 96-MU-FX-0014, 2004-MU-FX-0062), the National Institute on Drug Abuse (R01-DA05512), and the National Science Foundation (SBR-9123299, SES-9123299). Work on this project was also aided by grants to the Center for Social and Demographic Analysis at the University at Albany from NICHD (P30-HD32041) and NSF (SBR-9512290).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Lizotte, A.J., McDowall, D., Schmidt, N.M. (2009). Longitudinal Data and Their Uses. In: Krohn, M., Lizotte, A., Hall, G. (eds) Handbook on Crime and Deviance. Handbooks of Sociology and Social Research. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-0245-0_3

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics