A Validation Process for Predicting Stratagemical Behavior Patterns of Powerful Leaders in Conflict

  • Colleen L. Phillips
  • Stacey K. Sokoloff
  • John R. Crosscope
  • Norman D. Geddes
Conference paper


As a subset of small group population beliefs, the emergent behaviors of powerful leaders in conflict with one another were modeled. Inputs to the model came from various news feeds that when ingested into the model, built evidence for the beliefs. The construction and execution of the leader belief model, a new predictive model validation process, and the implications are addressed.


Subject Matter Expert Bayesian Belief Network Conflict Event Social Computing Powerful Leader 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag US 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Colleen L. Phillips
    • 1
  • Stacey K. Sokoloff
    • 1
  • John R. Crosscope
    • 1
  • Norman D. Geddes
    • 1
  1. 1.Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc.Alpharetta

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