A Wager on the Turing Test

  • Ray Kurzweil
  • Mitchell Kapor


Ray Kurzweil maintains that a computer (i.e., a machine intelligence) will pass the Turing Test by 2029. Mitchell Kapor believes this will not happen.

This wager is intended to be the inaugural long-term bet to be administered by the Long Now Foundation. The proceeds of the wager are to be donated to a charitable organization designated by the winner.


Emotional Intelligence Human Intelligence Human Level Human Judge Virtual Body 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


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  1. Kurzweil, R., 2005, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Viking Adult, New York; excerpts available at Scholar
  2. Turing, A. M., 1950, Computing machinery and intelligence, Mind 50(236): 433–460.CrossRefMathSciNetGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ray Kurzweil
    • 1
  • Mitchell Kapor
    • 2
  1. 1.Kurzweil TechnologiesWellesly HillsUSA
  2. 2.Open Source Applications FoundationSan FranciscoUSA

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