Abstract
Time series of Global air surface temperature anomaly (Global dT) and Atmospheric Circulation Index (ACI) characterizes a long-term predominant direction of air mass transport, i.e. meridional or zonal (latitudinal). Both were found to be correlated with long-term fluctuations of commercial fish stocks and to exhibit roughly 55–60 years periodicity. It may be proposed that populations of Norwegian spring spawning herring and North East Arctic cod undergo similar climate-linked 55–60 year cyclic fluctuations. A stochastic model was developed to predict the climate-linked stock dynamics of major commercial species for up to 30–40 years ahead. Four climatic indices (Global dT, ACI, “Kola meridian dT”, and air surface temperature in the Jan Mayen region) are suggested as indicators of major Arctic fish stock fluctuations.
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Klyashtorin, L.B., Lyubushin, A.A. (2004). Cyclic Variability of Climate and Fisheries Resources. In: Skreslet, S. (eds) Jan Mayen Island in Scientific Focus. NATO Science Series, vol 45. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-2957-8_14
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-2957-8_14
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