The Mid-Term Election of 1994: An Upheaval in Search of a Framework
A lot of cheap conventional wisdom about American politics was slain by the mid-term election of 1994. Indeed, the death of these conventional grand explanations stands as one of two unequivocally beneficial outcomes of that election. Such ‘explanations’ included hoary old chestnuts like ‘All politics is local’, and trendy insider lore like ‘The House of Representatives is constitutionally Democratic’. And they included noxious new aspirants like ‘It’s the economy, stupid’. Their passing remains an unequivocal abstract benefit.
KeywordsIncome Hunt Volatility Stake Mist
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- 1.The fountainhead for all such work is Angus Campbell, ‘Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change’, Public Opinion Quarterly 24 (Fall 1960), pp. 397–418.Google Scholar
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- 3.A huge amount of the relevant literature is mobilised, and the 1994 election placed within its context as well, in Paul R. Abramson, John H. Aldrich and David W. Rhode, Change and Continuity in the 1992 Elections, rev. edn (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 1995).Google Scholar
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- 9.Regional rankings for cultural conservatism (and liberalism) are developed from the data in Shafer and Claggett, The Two Majorities.Google Scholar