Skip to main content

Accounting for Stock Price Movements

  • Chapter
  • 56 Accesses

Part of the book series: International Economic Association Series ((IEA))

Abstract

Until recent years, most finance economists believed that expected stock returns were constant through time. This belief implied that unexpected stock returns were driven by news about future dividends. Since finance theory has little to say about the economic forces behind dividend expectations, finance economists were generally content to treat unexpected stock returns as exogenous, and to work instead on the determination of mean returns given risk aversion and exogenous variances and covariances of returns. Fama (1970) is a particularly clear survey of this traditional approach to finance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Bollerslev, T. (1986) ‘Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity’, Journal of Econometrics, vol. 31, pp. 307–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. (1987) ‘Stock Returns and the Term Structure’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 18, pp. 373–99.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. (1991) ‘A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns’, Economic Journal, vol. 101, pp. 157–79.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. (1993) Intertemporal Asset Pricing Without Consumption Data’, American Economic Review, vol. 83, no. 3, pp. 487–512.

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Ammer, J. M. (1993) ‘What Moves the Bond and Stock Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long-Term Asset Returns’, Journal of Finance, vol. 48 pp. 3–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Hentschel, L. (1992) ‘No News Is Good News: An Asymmetric Model of Changing Volatility in Stock Returns’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 31, pp. 281–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Kyle, A. S. (1993) ‘Smart Money, Noise Trading, and Stock Price Behavior’, Review of Economic Studies, vol. 60, no. 1, pp. 1–34.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Mei, J. (1992) ‘Where Do Betas Come From? Asset Price Dynamics and the Sources of Systematic Risk’, Review of Financial Studies, vol. 6, pp. 567–92.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Shiller, R. J. (1988a) ‘The Dividend Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors’, Review of Financial Studies, vol. 1, pp. 195–228.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J. Y. and Shiller, R. J. (1988b) ‘Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends’, Journal of Finance, vol. 43, pp. 661–76.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Constantinides, G. M. (1991) ‘Habit Formation: A Resolution of the Equity Premium Puzzle’, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 98, pp. 519–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Engle, R. F. (1982) ‘Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity With Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation’, Econometrica, vol. 50, pp. 987–1007.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F. (1970) ‘Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work’, Journal of Finance, vol. 25, pp. 383–417.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F. (1991) ‘Efficient Capital Markets: II’, Journal of Finance, vol. 46, pp. 1575–1617.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1988a) ‘Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices’, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 96, pp, 246–73.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1988b) ‘Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 22, pp. 3–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1989) ‘Business Conditions and Expected Returns on Stocks and Bonds’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 25, pp. 23–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • LeRoy, S. F. and Porter, R. (1981) ‘The Present Value Relation: Tests Based on Variance Bounds’, Econometrica, vol. 49, pp. 555–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mehra, R. and Prescott, E. (1985) ‘The Equity Premium Puzzle’, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 15, pp. 145–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Poterba, J. and Summers, L. H. (1988) ‘Mean Reversion in Stock Returns: Evidence and Implications’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 22, pp. 27–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schwert, G. W. (1989) ‘Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?’, Journal of Finance, vol. 44, pp. 1115–53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shiller, R. J. (1981) ‘Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to Be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?’, American Economic Review, vol. 71, pp. 421–36.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shiller, R. J. (1984) ‘Stock Prices and Social Dynamics’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, vol. 2, pp. 457–510.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 1995 International Economic Association

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Campbell, J.Y. (1995). Accounting for Stock Price Movements. In: Fitoussi, JP. (eds) Economics in a Changing World. International Economic Association Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-23953-5_8

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics