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Hypothesis Testing

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Time Series and Statistics

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Abstract

1. Testing Restrictions on Parameters. For those who believe that economic hypotheses have to be confirmed by empirical observations, hypotheses testing is an important subject in economics. As a classical example, when an economic relation is represented by a linear regression model:

$$Y = X\beta + \varepsilon ,$$

where Y is a column vector of n observations on the dependent variable y, X is an n × k matrix with each column giving the corresponding n observations on each of k explanatory variables (which typically include a column of ones), β is a column of k regression coefficients and ε is a vector of n independent and identically distributed residuals with mean zero and variance σ2, it is of interest to test a hypothesis consisting of m linear restrictions on β:

$$R\beta = r,$$

where R is m × k and r is m × 1. A most common case occurs when there is only one restriction (m = 1) and (2) is reduced to βi = 0, the hypothesis being that the ith explanatory variable has no effect on y.

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Authors

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John Eatwell Murray Milgate Peter Newman

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© 1990 Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited

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Chow, G.C. (1990). Hypothesis Testing. In: Eatwell, J., Milgate, M., Newman, P. (eds) Time Series and Statistics. The New Palgrave. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20865-4_14

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-20865-4_14

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-333-49551-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-349-20865-4

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