Abstract
I propose to concentrate on the long-run issues discussed in these papers, in which context both can be regarded as a rebuttal of The Limits to Growth proposition that mankind faces the prospect of economic and social collapse due to resource exhaustion. This is not the only source of collapse considered by the Meadows group, and neither of the preceding papers seems to go for an unconditional ‘no collapse’ forecast. Professor Robinson is more worried about pollution than resource depletion, particularly thermal pollution. Surrey and Page seem to want to identify social and political factors, rather than physical limits, as the critical areas. The interconnections between such problems as resource depletion, pollution, population growth and social conflict are something which we should bear in mind in any discussion of the economics of resource depletion.
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Notes
The figures are taken from table 8 of Professor Robinson’s paper and from M. King Hubbert ‘Energy Resources’, cited in Professor Robinson’s paper. King Hubbert sees oil shales as a source of chemical inputs rather than an energy source. The processing of oil shales requires large inputs of water, while the main U.S. deposits lie in arid areas. It has been questioned whether large-scale exploitation by the technologies on which current costings are based is feasible, for this reason. See S. H. Schurr et al., Energy in the American Economy: 1850–1975 (Johns Hopkins Press, for Resources for the Future Inc., Baltimore, 1972).
In the rather different context of wilderness areas as a (natural resource) recreation facility, the asymmetry has been considered with respect to the implications of technical progress in some of the contributions to J. V. Krutilla (ed.), National Environments: Studies in Theoretical and Applied Analysis (Johns Hopkins Press, for Resources for the Future Inc., Baltimore, 1972).
A useful reference is G. Leach, ‘The Energy Costs of Food Production’, in The Man-Food Equation, ed. A. Bourne (Academic Press, London, 1973).
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© 1975 Macmillan Publishers Limited
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Common, M. (1975). Comments on the Papers by Robinson, and Surrey and Page. In: Pearce, D.W. (eds) The Economics of Natural Resource Depletion. Palgrave, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-15577-4_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-15577-4_4
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