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Vanishing Threat Perceptions and New Uncertainties in Central Europe

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Changing Threat Perceptions and Military Doctrines
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Abstract

On account of the dramatic changes in the former socialist states the usage of some generally accepted notions has become ambiguous. Until very recently, both in professional literature and journalism, in connection with those countries that lie between Western Europe and the Soviet Union, the term ‘Eastern Europe’ was used, although in fact — as it has been stressed again since de Gaulle — Europe extends as far as the Urals. Consequently, Moscow should belong to Eastern Europe, in the same manner as Riga, Gorky or Kazan. But if these cities are in Eastern Europe, Warsaw, Prague and Budapest will have to find another geographic region for themselves, as they differ from the former in many respects, e.g. historically, culturally, politically.

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Notes and References

  1. According to Fleming, for example, the roots of the Cold War can even be traced back to the war of intervention against Soviet Russia, and to the fact that the United States refused to recognise the legitimate security interests of the Soviet Union after the Second World War in Eastern Europe. See Denne F. Fleming, The Cold War and its Origins (New York: Doubleday, 1961).

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  2. From the abundant literature, see especially Michael MccGwire, Military Objectives in Soviet Foreign Policy (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1987).

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  3. The term ‘imaginary war’ was first used by Mary Kaldor, The Baroque Arsenal (Abacus: Sphere Books, 1982).

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  4. Some of the leading experts realised these dangers. See, for example, Charles Gati, ‘East—Central Europe: The Morning After’, p. 137, Max Beloff, ‘A Premature Obituary?’ Encounter, LXXV (1989 No. 1, p. 5–6

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  5. Stanley Hoffmann, ‘Abschied von der Vergangenheit’. Europa Archiv, 45 (1990) No. 20, p. 605

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  6. Thus I share the views of neo-liberal institutionalism, rather than Hobbesian pessimism. (See Jack Snyder, ‘Averting Anarchy in the new Europe’. International Security, 14 (1990) No. 4 p. 33.)

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  7. See for example Zbigniew Brzezinski, ‘Destinations’. Encounter, LXXV July–August (1990) No. 1, p. 26.

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© 1992 László Valki

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Valki, L. (1992). Vanishing Threat Perceptions and New Uncertainties in Central Europe. In: Valki, L. (eds) Changing Threat Perceptions and Military Doctrines. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-12060-4_5

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