Abstract
The industrial world is now emerging from a deep economic crisis which covered practically every region of the global economy and nearly developed into a much more serious cumulative decline. The developing countries, particularly the primary producers of raw materials that feed into the industrial machine, suffered greatly in the episode. First, the decline in industrial production had a severe impact on the developing countries and, secondly, the recession created the conditions for a widespread financial crisis that has tentatively been dealt with — especially in avoiding a panic situation — but the crisis is still in the process of being rectified. The recuperation process is still incomplete and generates uncertainties about economic prospects.
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References
L. R. Klein, R. Simens, and P. Voisin, “Coordinated Monetary Policy and the World Economy,” Prévision et analyse économique 2 (October 1981) pp. 75–105;
L. R. Klein, C. A. Bollino, and S. Fardoust, “Industrial Policy in the World Economy: Medium Term Simulations,” Journal of Policy Modeling 4 (2, 1982), pp. 175–89
See Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, The World Economy at a Crossroads: International Financial Crunch, Crisis or Crash? (1983 and subsequent updates of this report inssued by Wharton.)
The data and estimates of Soviet and East European balances of payments and debts used in this chapter for the period through end-1982 are those reported for the Wharton Centrally Planned Economies Service Balances of Payments and Debt Reports released during the first half of 1983. In preparing these reports, the Wharton staff draws on the trade and financial statistics published by the governments of the countries covered, supplemented by data from Western sources. Commodity trade figures are given on f.o.b. basis, except for Hungary for which imports are c.i.f.
In these tables, Eastern Europe covers Poland, German Democratic Republic, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria.
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© 1985 Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (WIIW) / The Vienna Institute for Comparative Economic Studies
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Bond, D., Klein, L.R. (1985). The Global Environment and Its Impact on Soviet and East European Economies. In: Saunders, C.T. (eds) East-West Trade and Finance in the World Economy. East-West European Economic Interaction. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-06074-0_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-06074-0_2
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
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