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Programmes and Prognoses

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Development Perspectives
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Abstract

1 Is and ought. 2 Programme and prognosis. 3 Programme determined by prognosis. 4 Prognosis determined by programme; programmes as social data; selection and relevance; models and concepts: the index number problem; inadequacy of the means-ends schema; implications for welfare economics. 5 Interdependence between programme and prognosis; prophecies: cure through prognosis; dangerous thought: destruction through prognosis; harmony through prognosis; speculation and oligopoly. 6 The task of the social sciences. 7 Ideologies. 8 Summary.

This chapter, reprinted from “Introduction to Gunnar Myrdal”, Value in Social Theory, ed. Paul Streeten, Routledge & Kegan Paul, London (1958) is a revised and expanded version of an article that appeared in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 68 (August 1954).

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Notes

  1. R.B. Braithwaite, ‘Moral Principles and Inductive Policies’, Proceedings of the British Academy, vol. 36 (1950.), pp. 65f.

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  2. See T. D. Weldon,The Vocabulary of Politics, Penguin, Harmondsworth (1953), esp. Ch. 3, Section 7 and Ch. 5.

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  3. T. Ferguson and J. Cunnison, The Young Wage-Earner: A Study of Glasgow Boys, Oxford University Press (1951).

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© 1981 Paul Streeten

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Streeten, P. (1981). Programmes and Prognoses. In: Development Perspectives. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-05341-4_1

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