Skip to main content

Event Tree Analysis

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Assessment of Power System Reliability

Abstract

Event tree analysis is the technique used to define potential accident sequences associated with a particular initiating event or set of initiating events. The event tree model describes the logical connection between the potential successes and failures of defined safety systems or safety functions as they respond to the initiating event and the sequence of events. The event tree evaluation can be qualitative or quantitative or both. The evaluation is similar to the fault tree evaluation. Two general methods or approaches exist for the event tree linking process with the fault tree analysis. The small event tree and large fault tree approach are mostly used in nuclear industry in probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants.

When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth

Arthur Conan Doyle

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Papazoglou IA (1998) Mathematical foundations of event trees. Rel Eng Syst Saf 61:169?183

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Haasl D, Young J, Cramond WR (1985) Probabilistic risk assessment course documentation: system reliability and analysis techniques session. NUREG/CR-4350, vol 4. NRC, Washington

    Google Scholar 

  3. Knief RA (1992) Nuclear engineering: theory and technology of commercial nuclear power. Hemisphere, New York

    Google Scholar 

  4. Kumamoto H, Henley EJ (1996) Probabilistic risk assessment and management for engineers and scientists. IEEE, New York

    Google Scholar 

  5. ASME RA-S-2002 (2002) Standard for probabilistic risk assessment for nuclear power plant applications. Addendum (2005), ASME

    Google Scholar 

  6. RA-S-2008 (2008) Standard for level 1/large early release frequency probabilistic risk assessment for nuclear power plant applications. ASME

    Google Scholar 

  7. Villemeur A (1992) Reliability, availability, maintainability and safety assessment: methods and techniques. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  8. Probabilistic Risk Assessment Procedures Guide (1982) NUREG/CR-2300, NRC

    Google Scholar 

  9. Probabilistic Safety Analysis Procedures Guide (1985) NUREG/CR-2815, NRC

    Google Scholar 

  10. PRA NASA Guide (2002) Probabilistic risk assessment procedures guide for NASA managers and practitioners. NASA

    Google Scholar 

  11. Čepin M (2005) Analysis of truncation limit in probabilistic safety assessment. Rel Eng Syst Saf 87(3):395?403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Analysis of Core Damage Frequency (1990) NUREG/CR-4550, NRC

    Google Scholar 

  13. WASH-1400 (1975) Reactor safety study: an assessment of accident risks in US commercial nuclear power plants. NRC

    Google Scholar 

  14. German Risk Study (1979) Deutsche Risikostudie Kernkraftwerke. GRS, FRG

    Google Scholar 

  15. US NRC (1989) Severe accident risks: an assessment for five US nuclear power plants (NUREG/CR-1150). NRC

    Google Scholar 

  16. Prior RP, Chaboteaux JP, Wolvaardt FP et al (1994) Best estimate success criteria in the Krško IPE. In: International meeting on PSA/PRA and Severe Accidents, NSS, Ljubljana

    Google Scholar 

  17. Lungmen Units 1&2 (2006) Preliminary safety analysis report

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Marko Čepin .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer-Verlag London Limited

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Čepin, M. (2011). Event Tree Analysis. In: Assessment of Power System Reliability. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-688-7_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-688-7_6

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-85729-687-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-85729-688-7

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics