Improving Reliability of Judgmental Forecasts
- Thomas R. StewartAffiliated withCenter for Policy Research, Nelson A. Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, University at Albany, State University of New York
Organize and present information in a form that clearly emphasizes relevant information.
Limit the amount of information used in judgmental forecasting. Use a small number of really important cues.
Use mechanical methods to process information.
Combine several forecasts.
Require justification of forecasts.
KeywordsAccuracy combining forecasts error information acquisition information processing psychometrics reliability
- Improving Reliability of Judgmental Forecasts
- Book Title
- Principles of Forecasting
- Book Subtitle
- A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners
- Book Part
- pp 81-106
- Print ISBN
- Online ISBN
- Series Title
- International Series in Operations Research & Management Science
- Series Volume
- Series ISSN
- Springer US
- Copyright Holder
- Springer Science+Business Media New York
- Additional Links
- combining forecasts
- information acquisition
- information processing
- Industry Sectors
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