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Diffusion of Forecasting Principles through Books

  • James E. CoxJr.
  • David G. Loomis
Chapter
Part of the International Series in Operations Research & Management Science book series (ISOR, volume 30)

Abstract

We evaluated 18 forecasting books to determine the extent to which they incorporate forecasting principles. The authors who have contributed to Principles of Forecasting have identified 139 principles. On average, we found that only 19 percent of the 139 forecasting principles were mentioned in the books reviewed. The weakest coverage is in the areas of collecting data, assessing uncertainty, and presenting forecasts. Even in the areas of best coverage (setting objectives, preparing data, and implementing quantitative models), only one-third of the principles were mentioned. We found that none of the 18 books incorporated very many of the 139 forecasting principles. The highest rated book mentions only 47 principles.

Keywords

Forecasting books implementation information sources selection 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2001

Authors and Affiliations

  • James E. CoxJr.
    • 1
  • David G. Loomis
    • 1
  1. 1.Illinois State UniversityUSA

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