Abstract
In this lecture, I expound and comment on a model, or even more ambitiously, a theory, for representing, and drawing inferences from, vague probability assessments. The details of this theory have been published in two papers, the first [3] dealing with its behavioural underpinnings, and the second [1, 2] with its deeper mathematical aspects.
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References
G. de Cooman. A behavioural model for vague probability assessments. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 154:305–358, 2005. With discussion.
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L. A. Zadeh. Toward a perception-based theory of probabilistic reasoning with imprecise probabilities. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 105:233–264, 2002.
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Cooman, G.d. (2006). Reasoning with Vague Probability Assessments. In: Lawry, J., et al. Soft Methods for Integrated Uncertainty Modelling. Advances in Soft Computing, vol 37. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-34777-1_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-34777-1_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
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