Skip to main content

Methodical Foundation

  • Chapter
  • 412 Accesses

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems ((LNE,volume 572))

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. There is still surprisingly little research in the monetary field; see e.g. Auerbach and Herrmann [2002], Fitoussi [2003] or Davis [2004]. The international perspective is dominated by estimations of demography-driven capital flows like Börsch-Supan et al. [2002], Börsch-Supan et al. [2003], Brooks [2003], Domeij and Floden [2003], Feroli [2003], Börsch-Supan et al. [2005], or Domeij and Floden [2005]. Still, exchange rate effects are hardly assessed. Migration — as the labor market consequence of openness — is discussed, for instance, in Winkelmann and Zimmermann [1992], Alvarado and Creedy [1998], United Nations [2000] or Börsch-Supan [2003]. As indicated in Chap. 1, immigration turns out to be an unlikely cushion for older countries, as it requires substantially large magnitudes to offset the birth-decline; for global aging it can definitely not help.

    Google Scholar 

  2. See Henry [1990] for a detailed history of the neoclassical paradigm.

    Google Scholar 

  3. See Fama and Miller [1972] and Copeland and Weston [1988] for an extensive discussion of the neoclassical foundation of finance. The interest rates’ linkage to production-based economics is nicely reflected in the fact that the typically notation for them is not “i” but “r” — for rental of physical capital; see Wheelan [2002, p. 121] for an anecdotic illustration.

    Google Scholar 

  4. See Modigliani [1986] for a summary on the life-cycle consumption approaches.

    Google Scholar 

  5. For more detailed expositions of utility theory see Ingersoll [1987] or Gollier [2001]. Campbell and Viceira [2001a, Chapt. 2] provide an introduction to the utility concept underlying portfolio theory. The seminal work of Ramsey [1928] seems to be the first analysis of the multiperiod consumption problem.

    Google Scholar 

  6. See Fama [1976], Ingersoll [1987, Chaps. 3 and 4], Copeland and Weston [1988, Chap. 4], or Constantinides and Malliaris [1995] for analytical summaries of portfolio theory. Markowitz [1999] gives a historical overview.

    Google Scholar 

  7. See Campbell and Viceira [2001a, Chap. 2]. It is noteworthy that also the macro-economic theories of income and consumption address the aspect of risk aversion with the idea of precautionary savings as proposed by Leland [1968], Sandmo [1970], and Kimball [1990].

    Google Scholar 

  8. Merton [1990] or Duffie [2001] provide general treatments of portfolio choice in continuous time. Focussing on the aspect of asset allocation with predictability of returns Campbell and Viceira [1999, 2001b], Barberis [2000], Campbell, Chan and Viceira [2003]; Campbell, Viceira and White [2003] or Campbell et al. [2004] exploit the vector-auto-regression procedure and develop several approximate solutions, since the exact analytical ones are usually not obtainable. Campbell and Viceira [2001 a] is a textbook treatment of this.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Fixed commitments like housing are often ignored, even though they represent a significant portion of wealth and deliver an important consumption part. Cocco [2005] is one of the few attempts to include it in the life-cycle portfolio model. Corresponding to Fig. 2.1’s focus on only two macroeconomic input factors, namely physical capital and human labor, land as a potential third one as well as real property investments will be ignored in this framework.

    Google Scholar 

  10. See Campbell [2000] or Campbell [2003a] for summaries of the SDF approach. Ingersoll [1987] and Duffie [2001] provide textbook treatments. Cochrane [2001] restates the whole consumption-based asset pricing theory within this framework and provides the relation to the econometrics, which are scrutinized on in Campbell et al. [1997].

    Google Scholar 

  11. See for instance Rubinstein [1974], Constantinides [1980, 1982], or Scheinkman [1989].

    Google Scholar 

  12. The Lucas [1978] landmark contribution also highlights the concept of rational expectations in the spirit of Muth [1961] and the proposition of efficiency in the capital market of Fama [1970a].

    Google Scholar 

  13. See Kocherlakota [1996], Constantinides [2002], Jäkel [2002], Mehra [2003], or Campbell [2003b] for summaries on the empirical challenges, the Equity Premium Puzzle, and proposed solutions.

    Google Scholar 

  14. See Lettau [2003] or Cochrane [2005].

    Google Scholar 

  15. See Dixit and Pindyck [1994] for a survey and textbook treatment of the literature on irreversible investments and its relation to the q-Theory.

    Google Scholar 

  16. See Cochrane [2005] for a recent survey of models at these intersections between macroeconomics and finance.

    Google Scholar 

  17. Admittedly, the exact numbers vary for different countries between 60%–40% to 70%–30%. Nevertheless, the expected stability of the functional distribution of income to human labor and physical capital will be a key insight for the framework; see Kaldor [1963], Valdés [1999, p. 5], or Barro and Sala-i Martin [2004, p. 12].

    Google Scholar 

  18. von Hayek [1941] raised this question concerning the consistency of Fisher’s [1930] view and Clark’s [1899] theory of production, which underlies the equilibrium notion.

    Google Scholar 

  19. For an extensive textbook treatment of growth theory see Jones [1997], Aghion and Howitt [1998], Valdés [1999], or Barro and Sala-i Martin [2004].

    Google Scholar 

  20. Interestingly, Malthus [1815] was one of the first advocates of this so called law of diminishing marginal productivity.

    Google Scholar 

  21. For a discussion of other reallocation mechanisms like health care see Lee [1994a, b].

    Google Scholar 

  22. Important contributions include Gale [1973], Cass and Shell [1980], Balasko and Shell [1980, 1981a,b] and Weil [1989a].

    Google Scholar 

  23. See Shiller [2003a] or Börsch-Supan and Wilke [2003] for some historical remarks on the German PAYGO system.

    Google Scholar 

  24. See Börsch-Supan [2001] and Bubb and Zimmermann [2002, Chap. 6].

    Google Scholar 

  25. See, for instance, the collections of Feldstein [1988], Feldstein and Siebert [2002], Feldstein and Liebman [2002], Campbell and Feldstein [2004] and many more contributions. Textbook treatments of public finance aspects and their relations to economics are given in Myles [1995], Cullis and Jones [1998], or Rosen [2002].

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2006 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

(2006). Methodical Foundation. In: Pensionomics. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 572. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-34669-4_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics