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Short Term Load Forecasting Using Neural Network with Rough Set

  • Zhi Xiao
  • Shi-Jie Ye
  • Bo Zhong
  • Cai-Xin Sun
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 3972)

Abstract

Accurate Short term load forecasting (STLF) plays a significant role in the management of power system of countries and regions on the grounds of insufficient electric energy for increased need. This paper presents an approach of back propagation neural network with rough set (RSBP) for complicated STLF with dynamic and non-linear factors in order to develop the accuracy of predictions. Through attribution reduction based on variable precision with rough set, the influence of noise data and weak interdependency data to BP is avoided so the time taken for training is decreased. Using load time series from a practical system, we tested the accuracy of forecasting in specific days with comparison.

Keywords

Back Propagation Back Propagation Neural Network Decision Attribute Load Forecast Condition Attribution 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2006

Authors and Affiliations

  • Zhi Xiao
    • 1
  • Shi-Jie Ye
    • 1
  • Bo Zhong
    • 2
  • Cai-Xin Sun
    • 3
  1. 1.College of Economics and Business AdministrationChongqing UniversityChongqingChina
  2. 2.College of Mathematics and PhysicsChongqing UniversityChongqingChina
  3. 3.Key Laboratory of High Voltage Engineering and Electrical New Technology, Ministry of EducationChongqing UniversityChongqingChina

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