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Photovoltaic Power Prediction Using Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Rim Ben Ammar
  • Abdelmajid Oualha
Chapter
Part of the Green Energy and Technology book series (GREEN)

Abstract

The intermittent characteristic of the photovoltaic power, due to the variability of the weather conditions, involves many problems in grid energy management. Therefore, the PV power forecasting becomes crucial to ensure grid stability and economic dispatch. Artificial neural network (ANN) techniques present alternative approaches to solve nonlinear problems in various areas. They can be trained and applied for prediction. A particular type of ANN namely the recurrent neural network (RNN) has shown powerful capabilities for PV power forecasting. The paper investigates and compares the efficiency of several RNN architectures specifically the modified Elman, Jordan and the hybrid model combining the latest topologies.

The useful data for prediction are acquired from the National Institute of Meteorology. The performance of these topologies is validated by calculating the Root Mean Squared Error, the Mean Absolute Error and the Correlation Factor. The results show that forecasting with the modified Elman outperforms the Jordan and the hybrid networks.

Keywords

Artificial neural network PV power Forecasting Prediction Recurrent neural network Elman Jordan 

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Rim Ben Ammar
    • 1
  • Abdelmajid Oualha
    • 1
  1. 1.Sfax Engineering SchoolUniversity of SfaxSfaxTunisia

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