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Analysis of Influencing Factors of Integrated Freight Transport Volume Based on Gray Markov Model

  • Ya-ping Zhang
  • Yue-e Gao
  • Yan-wen Xie
  • Shou-ming Qi
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering book series (LNEE, volume 503)

Abstract

To get the quantitative analysis of the influencing factors of the freight traffic volume, the Gray correlation method is used to analyze and filter 3 factors, which have significant influence between the volume of total freight and volume of freight transport (5 kinds of transportation modes) with 14 influencing factors. And the forecasting accuracy of the Gray Markov forecasting model is used to screen the main influence factor on the volume of freight transport, which is based on the Gray relational analysis results. The calculation results show that the impact on volume of freight transport is mainly due to the economic factors, followed by the size of the transport, transport destination, and transportation modes between the internal competition and other types of factors.

Keywords

Integrated freight transport Gray relational analysis Gray Markov model Influencing factors 

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ya-ping Zhang
    • 1
  • Yue-e Gao
    • 1
    • 2
  • Yan-wen Xie
    • 1
  • Shou-ming Qi
    • 1
  1. 1.Transportation Planning and Management, School of Transportation Science and EngineeringHarbin Institute of TechnologyHarbinChina
  2. 2.China Transportation AssociationBeijingChina

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