Application to Decision Making Theory and Cognitive Science

  • Masanari Asano
  • Andrei Khrennikov
  • Masanori Ohya
  • Yoshiharu Tanaka
  • Ichiro Yamato
Chapter

Abstract

In this chapter the formalism of quantum probability and quantum information theory (in its generalized form based on theory of lifting) is applied to construct the QL-representations for cognitive processes, especially decision making in games of the prisoner’s dilemma type. Our modeling is based on the results of extended studies in the domain of cognitive psychology demonstrated that in some mental contexts players behave irrationally, i.e., they select mixed strategies which are different from the Nash equilibrium predicted by classical game theory. The simplest model of such irrational behavior is based on theory of open quantum systems and quantum master equation. More complex cognitive situations are modelled with aid quantum adaptive dynamics generalizing theory of open quantum systems. We also construct the QL-representation for bistable perception. We are able to construct quantum operators providing the adequate operational description of know statistical data. To check nonclassicality of these data we use a Bell-type inequality, namely, the Leggett-Garg inequality.

Keywords

Cognitive processes Decision making Games of prisoner’s dilemma type Irrational behavior Nash equilibrium Bistable perception Open quantum systems Adaptive quantum dynamics Bell inequality Leggett-Garg inequality 

References

  1. 1.
    Fox, C., Rogers, B., Tversky, A.: Option traders exhibit subadditive decision weights. J. Risk Uncertain. 13, 5–17 (1996)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  2. 2.
    Rottenstreich, Y., Tversky, A.: Unpacking, repacking and anchoring: advances in support theory. Psychol. Rev. 104, 406–415 (1997)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  3. 3.
    Bearden, J.N., Wallsten, T., Fox, C.: Error and subadditivity: a stochastic model of subadditivity. University of Arizona—Departmentt Management and Policy, preprint (2005)Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    Tversky, A., Koehler, D.: Support theory: a nonextential representation of subjective probability. Psychol. Rev. 101, 547–567 (1994)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. 5.
    Khrennikov, A., Haven, E.: The importance of probability interference in social science: rationale and experiment (2007). arXiv:0709.2802v1 [physics.gen-ph]
  6. 6.
    Khrennikova, P., Khrennikov, A., Haven, E.: The quantum-like description of the dynamics of party governance in the US political system (2012). arXiv:1206.2888 [physics.gen-ph]
  7. 7.
    Khrennikova, P.: Evolution of quantum-like modeling in decision making processes. AIP Conf. Proc. 1508, 108–112 (2012)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. 8.
    Conte, E., Todarello, O., Federici, A., Vitiello, F., Lopane, M., Khrennikov, A.: A preliminary evidence of quantum-like behaviour in measurements of mental states. Quantum Theory: Reconsideration of Foundations. Series Mathematical Model in Physics, Engineering and Cognitive Science, vol. 10, pp. 679–702. Växjö University Press, Växjö (2004)Google Scholar
  9. 9.
    Conte, E., Khrennikov, A., Todarello, O., Federici, A., Zbilut, J.P.: Mental states follow quantum mechanics during perception and cognition of ambiguous figures. Open Syst. Inf. Dyn. 16, 1–17 (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. 10.
    Khrennikov, A.: Classical and quantum mechanics on information spaces with applications to cognitive, psychological, social and anomalous phenomena. Found. Phys. 29, 1065–1098 (1999)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. 11.
    Khrennikov, A.: On quantum-like probabilistic structure of mental information. Open Syst. Inf. Dyn. 11, 267–275 (2004)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. 12.
    Khrennikov, A.: Quantum-like brain: interference of minds. BioSystems 84, 225–241 (2006)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  13. 13.
    Busemeyer, J.B., Wang, Z., Townsend, J.T.: Quantum dynamics of human decision making. J. Math. Psychol. 50, 220–241 (2006)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. 14.
    Busemeyer, J., Bruza, P.D.: Quantum Cognition and Decision. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2012)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. 15.
    Hofstader, D. R.: Dilemmas for superrational thinkers, leading up to a luring lottery. Sci. Am. 6 (1983)Google Scholar
  16. 16.
    Hofstader, D.R.: Metamagical Themes: Questing for the Essence of Mind and Pattern. Basic Books, New York (1985)Google Scholar
  17. 17.
    Shafir, E., Tversky, A.: Thinking through uncertainty: nonconsequential reasoning and choice. Cogn. Psychol. 24, 449–474 (1992)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  18. 18.
    Tversky, A., Shafir, E.: The disjunction effect in choice under uncertainty. Psychol. Sci. 3, 305–309 (1992)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. 19.
    Croson, R.: The disjunction effect and reasoning-based choice in games. Organ. Behav. Hum. Dec. Process. 80, 118–133 (1999)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  20. 20.
    Cheon, T., Takahashi, T.: Interference and inequality in quantum decision theory. Phys. Lett. A 375, 100–104 (2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. 21.
    Cheon, T., Tsutsui, I.: Classical and quantum contents of solvable game theory on Hilbert space. Phys. Lett. A 348, 147–152 (2006)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. 22.
    Khrennikov, A.: Quantum-like model of cognitive decision making and information processing. Biosystems 95, 179–187 (2009)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  23. 23.
    Khrennikov, A.: Ubiquitous Quantum Structure: From Psychology to Finance. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  24. 24.
    Fichtner, K.-H., Fichtner, L., Freudenberg, W., Ohya, M.: On a quantum model of the recognition process. In: QP-PQ: Probability and White Noise Analysis, vol. 21, pp. 64–84 (2008)Google Scholar
  25. 25.
    Franco, F.: The conjunction fallacy and interference effects. J. Math. Psychol. 53, 415–422 (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  26. 26.
    Khrennikov, A., Haven, E.: Quantum mechanics and violations of the sure-thing principle: the use of probability interference and other concepts. J. Math. Psychol. 53, 378–388 (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. 27.
    Pothos, E.M., Busemeyer, J.R.: Can quantum probability provide a new direction for cognitive modeling? Behav. Brain Sci. 36, 255–274 (2013)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  28. 28.
    Pothos, E. M., Busemeyer, J. R., Trueblood, J. S.: A quantum geometric model of similarity. Psychol. Rev. (in press)Google Scholar
  29. 29.
    Lambert-Mogiliansky, A., Busemeyer, J.R.: Emergence and instability of individual identity. In: Busemeyer, J.R., Dubois, F., Lambert-Mogiliansky, A., Melucci, M. (eds.) Quantum Interaction 6th International Symposium, QI 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 7620, pp. 102–113 (2012)Google Scholar
  30. 30.
    Dzhafarov, E.N., Kujala, J.V.: Selectivity in probabilistic causality: where psychology runs into quantum physics. J. Math. Psychol. 56, 54–63 (2012)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. 31.
    Dzhafarov, E.N., Kujala, J.V.: Random variables recorded under mutually exclusive conditions: contextuality-by-default, to appear in the Advances in Cognitive Neurodynamics. In: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Cognitive Neurodynamics (2013).  arXiv:1309.0962 [quant-ph]
  32. 32.
    Wang, Z., Busemeyer, J.R.: A quantum question order model supported by empirical tests of an a priori and precise prediction. Top. Cogn. Sci. (2013) (to be published)Google Scholar
  33. 33.
    Wang, Zh, Busemeyer, J.R.: A quantum question order model supported by empirical tests of an a priori and precise prediction. Top. Cogn. Sci. 5, 689–710 (2013)PubMedGoogle Scholar
  34. 34.
    D’Ariano, M., Fei, S.M., Haven, E., Hiesmayr, B., Jaeger, G., Khrennikov, A., Larsson, J.A.: Foundations of Probability and Physics-6. Series Conference Proceedings, vol. 1424. American Institute of Physics, Melville (2012)Google Scholar
  35. 35.
    Pothos, E.M., Busemeyer, J.R.: A quantum probability explanation for violation of rational decision theory. Proc. R. Soc. B 276(1165), 2171–2178 (2009)CrossRefPubMedCentralPubMedGoogle Scholar
  36. 36.
    Asano, M., Ohya, M., Khrennikov, A.: Quantum-like model for decision making process in two players game. Found. Phys. 41(3), 538–548 (2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  37. 37.
    Asano, M., Ohya, M., Tanaka, Y., Basieva, I., Khrennikov, A.: Quantum-like model of brain’s functioning: decision making from decoherence. J. Theor. Biol. 281(1), 56–64 (2011)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  38. 38.
    Asano, M., Basieva, I., Khrennikov, A., Ohya, M., Tanaka, Y.: Quantum-like generalization of the Bayesian updating scheme for objective and subjective mental uncertainties. J. Math. Psychol. 56(3), 168–175 (2012)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  39. 39.
    Asano, M., Basieva, I., Khrennikov, A., Ohya, M., Tanaka, Y.: Quantum-like representation of irrational inference. In: Busemeyer, J.R., Dubois, F., Lambert-Mogiliansky, A., Melucci, M. (eds.) Quantum Interaction 6th International Symposium (QI-2012). Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 7620, pp. 138–147 (2012)Google Scholar
  40. 40.
    Asano, M., Basieva, I., Khrennikov, A., Ohya, M., Tanaka, Y., Yamato, I.: Adaptive dynamics and its application to context dependent systems breaking the classical probability law. In: Busemeyer, J.R., Dubois, F., Lambert-Mogiliansky, A., Melucci, M. (eds.) Quantum Interaction 6th International Symposium (QI-2012). Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 7620, pp. 160–171 (2012)Google Scholar
  41. 41.
    Asano, M., Basieva, I., Khrennikov, A., Ohya, M., Yamato, I.: Non-Kolmogorovian approach to the context-dependent systems breaking the classical probability law. Found. Phys. 43(7), 895–911 (2013)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  42. 42.
    Accardi, L., Ohya, M.: Compound channels, transition expectations, and liftings. Appl. Math. Optim. 39, 33–59 (1999)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  43. 43.
    Asano, M., Ohya, M., Tanaka, Y., Khrennikov, A., Basieva, I.: Quantum-like representation of Bayesian updating. In: Proceedings of the International Conference Advances in Quantum Theory, vol. 1327, pp. 57–62. American Institute of Physics (2011)Google Scholar
  44. 44.
    Smith, R.A.: A Compleat System of Opticks. Cambridge, Published by the author (1738)Google Scholar
  45. 45.
    Schröder, H.: Ueber eine optische Inversion bei Betrachtung verkehrter, durch optische Vorrichtung entworfener physischer Bilder. Annalen der Physik 181(10), 298–311 (1858)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  46. 46.
    Atmanspacher, H., Filk, T., Röme, H.: Complementarity in Bistable Perception, Recasting Reality, pp. 135–150. Springer, Berlin (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  47. 47.
    Leggett, A., Garg, A.: Quantum mechanics versus macroscopic realism: is the flux there when nobody looks? Phys. Rev. Lett. 54, 857–860 (1985)CrossRefPubMedGoogle Scholar
  48. 48.
    Bell, J.: Speakable and Unspeakable in Quantum Mechanics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1987)Google Scholar
  49. 49.
    Khrennikov, A.: Contextual Approach to Quantum Formalism. Springer, Berlin (2009)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  50. 50.
    Conte, E., Khrennikov, A., Todarello, O., Federici, A., Zbilut, J.P.: A preliminary experimental verification on the possibility of Bell inequality violation in mental states. Neuroquantology 6, 214–221 (2008)Google Scholar
  51. 51.
    Dzhafarov, E.N., Kujala, J.V.: Quantum entanglement and the issue of selective influences in psychology: an overview. Lect. Notes Comput. Sci. 7620, 184–195 (2012)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  52. 52.
    Atmanspacher, H., Filk, T.: Temporal nonlocality in bistable perception. In: Khrennikov, A., Atmanspacher, H., Migdall, A., Polyakov, S. (eds.) Quantum Theory: Reconsiderations of Foundations-6. Special Section: Quantum-like Decision Making: From Biology to Behavioral Economics, AIP Conference Proceedings, vol. 1508, pp. 79–88 (2012)Google Scholar
  53. 53.
    Atmanspacher, H., Filk, T., Römer, H.: Weak quantum theory: formal framework and selected applications. In: Adenier, G., Khrennikov, A., Nieuwenhuizen, T.M. (eds.) Quantum Theory: Reconsideration of Foundations, vol. 3, pp. 34–46. American Institute of Physics, New York (2006)Google Scholar
  54. 54.
    Kolmogoroff, A. N.: Grundbegriffe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung. Springer, Berlin (1933). English translation: Kolmogorov, A.N.: Foundations of Theory of Probability. Chelsea Publishing Company, New York (1956)Google Scholar
  55. 55.
    Acacio de Barros, J.: Joint probabilities and quantum cognition. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Quantum Theory: Reconsiderations of Foundations-6, Växjö, Sweden, 11–14 June (2012)Google Scholar
  56. 56.
    Goggin, M.E., Almeida, M.P., Barbieri, M., Lanyon, B.P., O’Briend, J.L., White, A.G., Pryde, G.J.: Violation of the Leggett-Garg inequality with weak measurements of photons. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 108(4), 1256–1261 (2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • Masanari Asano
    • 1
  • Andrei Khrennikov
    • 2
  • Masanori Ohya
    • 3
  • Yoshiharu Tanaka
    • 3
  • Ichiro Yamato
    • 4
  1. 1.Liberal Arts DivisionTokuyama College of TechnologyTokuyamaJapan
  2. 2.International Center for Mathematical Modeling in Physics and Cognitive ScienceLinnaeus UniversityVäxjöSweden
  3. 3.Information ScienceTokyo University of ScienceTokyoJapan
  4. 4.Department of Biological Science and TechnologyTokyo University of ScienceTokyoJapan

Personalised recommendations