Time-Dependent Stochastic Modelling of Fire Spread in Segregated Structures

  • A. Veevers
  • P. Manasse

Abstract

A segregated structure is a unit comprising smaller, distinct ‘compartments’ or ‘volumes’ which are separated by various ‘barriers’. If a fire starts in one of these volumes it may spread to other volumes in the structure by breaching the interposed barriers. A general model to assess the risk from fire spreading through a structure in which one or more volumes is in some sense critical is introduced. The model is time-dependent, based upon failure-time probability distributions assigned to each barrier and embracing extreme value theory in the determination of the probability distribution of the time taken for a fire to reach a particular critical volume.

Keywords

Target Volume Fire Safety Fire Spread Probabilistic Risk Assessment Ignition Probability 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Elsevier Science Publishers Ltd 1990

Authors and Affiliations

  • A. Veevers
    • 1
  • P. Manasse
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Statistics and Computational MathemticsUniversity of LiverpoolLiverpoolEngland

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