Monetary Policy in the Japanese Economy Incorporating Energy Prices

Chapter
Part of the ADB Institute Series on Development Economics book series (ADBISDE)

Abstract

Japan has reached the limits of conventional macroeconomic policies. Recently, the Bank of Japan, in order to overcome the deflation and achieve sustainable economic growth, set the inflation target at 2 % and implemented aggressive monetary policy to achieve this target as soon as possible. Although prices started to rise after the Bank of Japan implemented monetary easing, the main reason for this price elevation may not come directly from easy monetary policy, but other sources such as higher oil prices. High oil prices in yen, which is the result of a depreciated yen, is one of the main causes of the inflation. Moreover, this chapter shows that quantitative easing may not stimulate the Japanese economy. Aggregate demand that includes private investment did not increase significantly in Japan when the interest rate was lowered. Private investment displays this unconventional behavior because of uncertainty about the future and the aging population. We believe that the remedy for the Japanese economy is not monetary policy. The government needs to look for serious structural changes and growth strategies.

Keywords

Easing monetary policy Japanese economy Zero interest rate policy Abenomics Energy prices 

JEL Classification

E47 E52 Q41 Q43 

References

  1. Galí, J. 2008. Monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle: An introduction to the new Keynesian framework. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
  2. Galí, J., and M. Gertler. 2007. Macroeconomic modeling for monetary policy evaluation. Journal of Economic Perspectives 21: 25–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Galí, J., F. Smets, and R. Wouters. 2012. Unemployment in an estimated new Keynesian model. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 26: 329–360.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Krugman, P.R. 1998. It’s baaack: Japan’s slump and the return of the liquidity trap. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2: 137–205. http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/projects/bpea/1998%202/1998b_bpea_krugman_dominquez_rogoff.pdf.
  5. Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., and N. Yoshino. 2013a. Empirical analysis of oil price determination based on market quality theory. Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series. 2012-044. Tokyo: Keio University.Google Scholar
  6. Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., and N. Yoshino. 2013b. Which side of the economy is affected more by oil prices: Supply or demand? United States Association for Energy Economics Research Paper No. 13–139.Google Scholar
  7. Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., and N. Yoshino. 2014. Monetary policies and oil price determination: An empirical analysis. OPEC Energy Review 38(1): 1–20. doi: 10.1111/opec.12021.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., N. Yoshino, G. Abdoli, and A. Farzinvash. 2013. An estimation of the impact of oil shocks on crude oil exporting economies and their trade partners. Frontiers of Economics in China 8(4): 571–591. doi: 10.3868/s060-002-013-0029-3.Google Scholar
  9. Woodford, M. 2003. Interest and prices, foundations of a theory of monetary policy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
  10. Yoshino, N., and M. Nakahigashi. 2000. Economic effects of infrastructure. Japan’s experience after World War II. JBIC Review 3: 3–19.Google Scholar
  11. Yoshino, N., and E. Sakakibara. 2002. The current state of the Japanese economy and remedies. Asian Economic Papers 1: 110–126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. Yoshino, N., and F. Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2014a. Effectiveness of the easing of monetary policy in the Japanese economy, incorporating energy prices, ADBI Working Paper 503. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute.Google Scholar
  13. Yoshino, N., and F. Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2014b. Three arrows of “Abenomics” and the structural reform of Japan: Inflation targeting policy of the central bank, fiscal consolidation, and growth strategy, ADBI Working Paper 492. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute.Google Scholar
  14. Yoshino, N., and F. Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2014c. Economic impacts of oil price fluctuations in developed and emerging economies. IEEJ Energy Journal 9: 58–75.Google Scholar
  15. Yoshino, N., and F. Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2014d. Monetary policies and oil price fluctuations following the subprime mortgage crisis. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance 7(3): 157–174. doi: 10.1504/IJMEF.2014.066482.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. Yoshino, N., and F. Taghizadeh-Hesary. 2014e. An analysis of challenges faced by Japan’s economy and Abenomics. Journal of Japanese Political Economy 40: 1–26. doi: 10.1080/2329194X.2014.998591.Google Scholar
  17. Yoshino, N., S. Kaji, and K. Kameda. 1998. Choice of monetary policy instrument and the Keynesian multiplier (in Japanese). Financial Review 45(March). Tokyo: Ministry of Finance of Japan.Google Scholar
  18. Yoshino, N., F. Taghizadeh-Hesary, A. Hassanzadeh, and A. Danu Prasetyo. 2014. Response of stock markets to monetary policy: The Tehran stock market perspective. Journal of Comparative Asian Development 13(3): 517–545. doi: 10.1080/15339114.2014.985458.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Asian Development Bank Institute 2016

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)TokyoJapan
  2. 2.School of EconomicsKeio UniversityTokyoJapan

Personalised recommendations