Strategisches Wählen in Deutschland pp 21-29 | Cite as
Das Kalkül des strategischen Wählens unter relativer Mehrheitswahl
Chapter
First Online:
Zusammenfassung
Wie funktioniert strategisches Wählen mit der Erststimme? Dieses Kapitel führt in die Theorie strategischen Wählens mit der Erststimme ein. Es stellt das Entscheidungsproblem eines Wählers unter relativer Mehrheitswahl mit drei Parteien dar. Aus dem Vergleich von Pattsituationen wird die optimale Entscheidungsregel abgeleitet, die darin besteht, den bevorzugten unter den beiden führenden Kandidaten zu wählen. Dieselbe Regel gilt, wenn mehr als drei Parteien im Wahlkreis konkurrieren.
Literatur
- Black JH (1978) The multicandidate calculus of voting: Application to Canadian federal elections. American Journal of Political Science 22:609–638CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cox GW (1994) Strategic voting under the single nontransferable vote. American Political Science Review 88:608–621CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Cox GW (1997) Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in the World’s Electoral Systems. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeCrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Fey M (1997) Stability and coordination in Duverger’s law: A formal model of preelection polls and strategic voting. American Political Science Review 91:135–147CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Forsythe R, Myerson RB, Rietz TA, Weber RJ (1993) An experiment on coordination in multi-candidate elections: The importance of polls and election histories. Social Choice and Welfare 10:223–247CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Forsythe R, Rietz TA, Myerson RB, Weber RJ (1996) An experimental study of voting rules and polls in three-candidate elections. International Journal of Game Theory 25:355–383CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Hoffman DT (1982) A model for strategic voting. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 42(4):751–761CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Kselman D, Niou E (2010) Strategic voting in plurality elections. Political Analysis 18:227–244CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- McKelvey RD, Ordeshook PC (1972) A general theory of the calculus of voting. In: Herndon J, Bernd J (eds) Mathematical Applications in Political Science, University Press of Virginia, pp 32–78Google Scholar
- Meirowitz A, Shotts KW (2009) Pivots versus signals in elections. Journal of Economic Theory 144:744–771CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Myatt DP (2007) On the theory of strategic voting. Review of Economic Studies 74(1):255–281CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Myatt DP (2013) A theory of protest voting Working Paper, London Business SchoolGoogle Scholar
- Myerson RB, Weber RJ (1993) A theory of voting equilibria. American Political Science Review 87:102–114CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Palfrey TR (1989) A mathematical proof of Duverger’s law. In: Ordeshook PC (ed) Models of Strategic Choice in Politics, University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, pp 69–91Google Scholar
- Rietz TA, Myerson RB, Weber RJ (1998) Campaign finance levels as coordinating signals in three-way experimental elections. Economics and Politics 10:185–217CrossRefGoogle Scholar
- Riker WH, Ordeshook PC (1968) A theory of the calculus of voting. American Political Science Review 62:25–42CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Copyright information
© Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 2015