Contact Network Modeling of Flu Epidemics

  • Ian X. Y. Leung
  • Gareth Gibbs
  • Franco Bagnoli
  • Anil Sorathiya
  • Pietro Liò
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 5191)

Abstract

Using actual census, family and age structure, land-use and population-mobility data, we develop a stochastic cellular automata on a social contact network to study the propagation of influenza epidemics in the UK. In particular, we address age dependency and obtain the contact networks through the analysis of location co-presence. We analyze infection propensities as well as vaccination techniques. The results indicate the relative merits of different vaccination strategies combined with early detection without resorting to mass vaccination of a population.

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ian X. Y. Leung
    • 1
  • Gareth Gibbs
    • 1
  • Franco Bagnoli
    • 2
  • Anil Sorathiya
    • 1
  • Pietro Liò
    • 1
  1. 1.The Computer LaboratoryUniversity of CambridgeCambridgeU.K.
  2. 2.Department of EnergyUniversity of Florence, Via S. Marta 3, 50139 Firenze, Italy; also CSDC and INFN, sez. Firenze 

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