Advertisement

Synchronized Peak Rate Years of Global Resources Use Imply Critical Trade-Offs in Appropriation of Natural Resources and Ecosystem Services

  • Ralf SeppeltEmail author
  • Ameur M. Manceur
  • Jianguo Liu
  • Eli P. Fenichel
  • Stefan Klotz
Chapter

Abstract

Which ecosystem services are addressed? Most relevant renewable food resources, i.e., provisioning ecosystem services from agriculture (crops, meat, dairy products) and aqua culture

Keywords

Peak rate year Limits to growth Synchrony 

References

  1. 1.
    Meadows DH, Meadows DL, Randers J, Behrens WW III. The limits to growth: a report for the Club of Rome’s project on the predicament of mankind. New York: Universe Books; 1972.Google Scholar
  2. 2.
    Arrow K, Bolin B, Costanza R, Dasgupta P, Folke C, Holling CS, et al. Economic growth, carrying capacity, and the environment. Science. 1995;268:520–1.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. 3.
    Malthus T. An essay on the principle of population. Printed for J. Johnson, in St. Paul’s Church-Yard, London; 1798.Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    Bardi U. The limits to growth revisited. New York: Springer; 2011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. 5.
    Hallock JL Jr, Wu W, Hall CAS, Jefferson M. Forecasting the limits to the availability and diversity of global conventional oil supply: validation. Energy. 2014;64:130–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. 6.
    Gleick PH, Palaniappan M. Peak water limits to freshwater withdrawal and use. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010;107:11155–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. 7.
    Seppelt R, Manceur AM, Liu J, Fenichel EP, Klotz S. Synchronized peak-rate years of global resources use. Ecol Soc. 2014;19(4):50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. 8.
    Tollefson J, Monastersky R. The global energy challenge: awash with carbon. Nature. 2012;491:654–5.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. 9.
    Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. FAOSTAT; 2013. http://faostat3.fao.org/faostat-gateway/go/to/download/C/CC/E.
  10. 10.
    Cordell D, Drangert J-O, White S. The story of phosphorus: global food security and food for thought. Glob Environ Change. 2009;19:292–305.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. 11.
    Ramankutty N, Foley JA. Estimating historical changes in global land cover: croplands from 1700 to 1992. Global Biogeochem Cycles. 1999;13:997–1027.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. 12.
    Fan Y, Li H, Miguez-Macho G. Global patterns of groundwater table depth. Science. 2013;339:940–3.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  13. 13.
    Ray DK, Ramankutty N, Mueller ND, West PC, Foley JA. Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation. Nat Commun. 2012;3:1293.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. 14.
    Foley JA, Ramankutty N, Brauman KA, Cassidy ES, Gerber JS, Johnston M, et al. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature. 2011;478:337–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. 15.
    Lutz W, Samir KC. Dimensions of global population projections: what do we know about future population trends and structures? Philos Trans R Soc B. 2010;365:2779–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  16. 16.
    Liu J, Daily GC, Ehrlich PR, Luck GW. Effects of household dynamics on resource consumption and biodiversity. Nature. 2003;421:530–3.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  17. 17.
    Davidson DJ, Andrews J. Not all about consumption. Science. 2013;339:1286–7.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  18. 18.
    Liu J, Hull V, Batistella M, Defries R, Dietz T, Fu F, et al. Framing sustainability in a telecoupled world. Ecol Soc. 2013;18:26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. 19.
    Barbier EB. Capitalizing on nature. New York: Cambridge University Press; 2011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  20. 20.
    Neumayer E. Scarce or abundant? The economics of natural resource availability. J Econ Surv. 2000;14:307–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. 21.
    Huebner J. A possible declining trend for worldwide innovation. Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2005;72:980–6.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ralf Seppelt
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Ameur M. Manceur
    • 1
  • Jianguo Liu
    • 3
  • Eli P. Fenichel
    • 4
  • Stefan Klotz
    • 5
  1. 1.Department of Computational Landscape EcologyHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research–UFZLeipzigGermany
  2. 2.Institute of Geoscience and GeographyMartin Luther University Halle-WittenbergHalleGermany
  3. 3.Center for Systems Integration and SustainabilityMichigan State UniversityEast LansingUSA
  4. 4.Yale School of Forestry & Environmental StudiesNew HavenUSA
  5. 5.Department of Community EcologyHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research–UFZHalleGermany

Personalised recommendations