Advertisement

Paradox Lost pp 209-218 | Cite as

The Shooting Room

  • Michael Huemer
Chapter

Abstract

The Shooting Room is set up such that (i) it is guaranteed that at least 90% of people who ever enter it are shot, but (ii) for any given person, whether they are shot or not depends on the flip of a fair coin. Given that V is called into the room, what is the probability that V is shot? Both “50%” and “90%” answers seem compelling. The paradox, however, depends on metaphysically impossible assumptions about an infinite population and infinite time or speed. Given any metaphysically possible (finitist) assumptions, the correct probability comes to 50%.

References

  1. Hamade, Rufus. 1996. “Black Holes and Quantum Gravity”, Cambridge Relativity and Cosmology, University of Cambridge, http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/research/gr/public/bh_hawk.html, accessed May 31, 2017.
  2. Huemer, Michael. 2016. Approaching Infinity. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
  3. Leslie, John. 1996. The End of the World. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
  4. Lewis, David. 1980. “A Subjectivist’s Guide to Objective Chance”, pp. 263–93 in Richard C. Jeffrey, ed., Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability, vol. II. Berkeley, Calif.: University of California Press.Google Scholar
  5. Wald, Robert M. 1984. General Relativity. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© The Author(s) 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Michael Huemer
    • 1
  1. 1.Philosophy DepartmentUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulderUSA

Personalised recommendations