ICONIP 2017: Neural Information Processing pp 11-20 | Cite as

Firefly Algorithm for Demand Estimation of Water Resources

  • Hui Wang
  • Zhihua Cui
  • Wenjun Wang
  • Xinyu Zhou
  • Jia Zhao
  • Li Lv
  • Hui Sun
Conference paper
First Online:
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 10637)

Abstract

Firefly algorithm (FA) is an efficient swarm intelligence optimization technique, which has been used to solve many engineering optimization problems. In this paper, we present a new FA (called NFA) variant for demand estimation of water resources in Nanchang city of China. The performance of the standard FA highly depends on its control parameters. To tackle this issue, a dynamic step factor strategy is proposed. In NFA, the step factor is not fixed and it is dynamically updated during the search process. Three models in different forms (linear, exponential and hybrid) are developed based on the structure of social and economic conditions. Water demand in Nanchang city from 2003 to 2015 is considered as a case study. The data from 2003 to 2012 is used for finding the optimal weights, and the rest data (2013–2015) is for testing the models. Simulation results show that three FA variants can achieve promising performance. Our proposed NFA outperforms the standard FA and memetic FA (MFA), and the prediction accuracy is up to 97.91%.

Keywords

Firefly algorithm Swarm intelligence Water demand estimation Water demand forecasting Optimization 
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Notes

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 61663028), the Distinguished Young Talents Plan of Jiangxi Province (No. 20171BCB23075), the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province (No. 20171BAB202035), and the Open Research Fund of Jiangxi Province Key Laboratory of Water Information Cooperative Sensing and Intelligent Processing (No. 2016WICSIP015).

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Hui Wang
    • 1
    • 2
  • Zhihua Cui
    • 3
  • Wenjun Wang
    • 4
  • Xinyu Zhou
    • 5
  • Jia Zhao
    • 1
    • 2
  • Li Lv
    • 1
    • 2
  • Hui Sun
    • 1
    • 2
  1. 1.Jiangxi Province Key Laboratory of Water Information Cooperative Sensing and Intelligent ProcessingNanchang Institute of TechnologyNanchangChina
  2. 2.School of Information EngineeringNanchang Institute of TechnologyNanchangChina
  3. 3.Complex System and Computational Intelligence LaboratoryTaiyuan University of Science and TechnologyTaiyuanChina
  4. 4.School of Business AdministrationNanchang Institute of TechnologyNanchangChina
  5. 5.College of Computer and Information EngineeringJiangxi Normal UniversityNanchangChina

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