Artificial Neural Network Based Real-Time Urban Road Traffic State Estimation Framework
Abstract
With the rapid increase of urban development and the surge in vehicle ownership, urban road transport problems like traffic accident and congestion caused huge waste of time, property damage and environmental pollution in recent years. To address these problems, use of information communication technology-based transport systems that can support maximum utilization of the existing road transport infrastructure has been proposed by different researchers. Road monitoring systems are one of these solutions which support road users to make informed decisions. However, the current road traffic monitoring systems use road side infrastructures for road traffic data collection and these technologies lack accurate and up-to-date traffic data covering the whole road network. By comparison, cellular networks are already widely deployed and can provide large road network coverage. Besides, 3G and 4G cellular networks provide mobile phone positioning facility with better performance accuracy and this opportunity can help to obtain accurate traffic flow information in cost effective manner on the entire road networks. The purpose of this chapter is to present our approach for real-time road traffic state estimation framework using the existing cellular network for road traffic data source and a neural network state estimation model. To evaluate the performance of the Artificial Neural Network model (ANN) both simulation and real world data is applied. The estimation accuracy using MAE and estimation availability indicated that reliable link speed estimation can be generated using this model and the estimated data can help to indicate real-time urban road traffic condition.
Keywords
Cellular network Positioning technology Artificial Neural Network Framework State estimationReferences
- 1.Yang, Z., Bing, Q., Lin, C., Yang, N., Mei, D.: Research on short-term traffic flow prediction method based on similarity search of time series. Math. Probl. Eng. 1–9 (2014)Google Scholar
- 2.Rewadkar, D., Dixit, T.: Review of Different Methods Used for Large-Scale Urban Road Networks Traffic State Estimation. J. Emerg. Technol. Adv. Eng. 3(10), 369–373 (2013)Google Scholar
- 3.Leduc, G.: Road traffic data: Collection methods and applications. Work. Pap. Energy Transp. Clim. Change 1, 55 (2008)Google Scholar
- 4.Calabrese, F., Colonna, M., Lovisolo, P., Parata, D., Ratti, C.: Real-time urban monitoring using cell phones: A case study in Rome. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 12, 141–151 (2011)Google Scholar
- 5.Pueboobpaphan, R. and Nakatsuji, T.: Real-time traffic state estimation on urban road network: the application of unscented Kalman filter. In Proceedings of the Ninth International Conference on Applications of Advanced Technology in Transportation, pp. 542–547 (2006)Google Scholar
- 6.Caceres, N., Wideberg, J., Benitez, F.: Review of traffic data estimations extracted from cellular networks. IET Intell. Transp. Syst. 2, 179–192 (2008)Google Scholar
- 7.Tao, S., Rodriguez, S., Rusu, A.: Vehicle location using wireless wide area network. In: 2010 Third Joint IFIP Wireless and Mobile Networking Conference (WMNC), pp. 1–6 (2010)Google Scholar
- 8.Lovisolo, P., Dario, P. and Carlo. R.: Real-Time Urban Monitoring Using Cellular Phones: a Case-Study in Rome. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 21(1) (March 2011), 141–151 (2007)Google Scholar
- 9.Bensky, A.: Wireless Positioning Technologies and Applications. Artech House, Norwood (2007)Google Scholar
- 10.Tao, S., Manolopoulos, V., Rodriguez, S., Ismail, M. and Rusu, A.: Hybrid vehicle positioning and tracking using mobile phones. In: 2011 11th International Conference on ITS Telecommunications (ITST), pp. 315–320 (2011)Google Scholar
- 11.Abo-Zahhad, M., Ahmed, S.M., Mourad, M.: Hybrid Uplink-Time Difference of Arrival and Assisted-GPS Positioning Technique. Int. J. Commun. Netw. Syst. Sci. 5, 303–312 (2012)Google Scholar
- 12.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: Comparing Measurement and State Vector Data Fusion Algorithms for Mobile Phone Tracking Using A-GPS and U-TDOA Measurements. Hybrid Artifi. Intell. Syst. 9121, 592–604 (2015)Google Scholar
- 13.Bacchus, M.A., Hellinga, B. and Izadpanah, M.P.: An Opportunity Assessment of Wireless Monitoring of Network-Wide Road Traffic Conditions. Dept. Civil Eng., Univ. Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada (2007)Google Scholar
- 14.Fontaine, M.D., Smith, B.L., Hendricks, A.R., Scherer, W.T.: Wireless location technology-based traffic monitoring: preliminary recommendations to transportation agencies based on synthesis of experience and simulation results. Trans. Res. Rec.: J. Transp. Res. Board 1993, 51–58 (2007)Google Scholar
- 15.Bar-Gera, H.: Evaluation of a cellular phone-based system for measurements of traffic speeds and travel times: A case study from Israel. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 15, 380–391 (2007)Google Scholar
- 16.Hellinga, B.R., Fu, L.: Reducing bias in probe-based arterial link travel time estimates. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 10, 257–273 (2002)Google Scholar
- 17.Bayen, M., Butler, J. and Anthony, D.: Mobile Millennium. Using Cell Phones as Mobile Traffic Sensors, UC Berkeley College of Engineering, CCIT, Caltrans, DOT, Nokia, NAVTEQ, pp. 1557–2269 (2008)Google Scholar
- 18.Tao, S., Manolopoulos, V., Rodriguez, S., Rusu, A.: Real-Time Urban Traffic State Estimation with A-GPS Mobile Phones as Probes. J. Transp. Technol. 2, 22–31 (2012)Google Scholar
- 19.Rose, G.: Mobile phones as traffic probes: practices, prospects and issues. Transp. Rev. 26, 275–291 (2006)Google Scholar
- 20.Chi, H. and Xavier, S.: A Fast Approach Towards Android Malware Detection. In: Computational Science and Its Applications—(ICCSA 2015). pp. 77–89. Springer, Berlin (2015)Google Scholar
- 21.Ken, H. Global Smartphone Sales Forecast for 88 Countries 2007 to 2017 (2013). https://www.strategyanalytics.com/strategy-analytics/blogs/devices/smartphones/smart-phones/2013/03/28/africa-smartphone-sales-will-jump-56-in-2013-#.VvMkWE_SnT9
- 22.Aydos, J. Hengst, B., Uther, W., Blair, A. and Zhang, J.: Stochastic Real-Time Urban Traffic State Estimation: Searching for the Most Likely Hypothesis with Limited and Heterogeneous Sensor Data, Ph.D. Thesis (2012)Google Scholar
- 23.Vlahogianni, E.I., Golias, J.C., Karlaftis, M.G.: Short-term traffic forecasting: Overview of objectives and method. Transp. Rev. 24, 533–557 (2004)Google Scholar
- 24.Yin, H., Wong, S., Xu, J., Wong, C.: Urban traffic flow prediction using a fuzzy-neural approach. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 10, 85–98 (2002)Google Scholar
- 25.Alecsandru, C., Ishak, S.: Hybrid model-based and memory-based traffic prediction system. Transp. Res. Rec.: J. Transp. Res. Board 1879, 59–70 (2004)Google Scholar
- 26.Zheng, W., Lee, D.H., Shi, Q.: Short-term freeway traffic flow prediction: Bayesian combined neural network approach. J. Transp. Eng. 132, 114–121 (2006)Google Scholar
- 27.van Lint, J.W., Hoogendoorn, S., van Zuylen, H.J.: Freeway travel time prediction with state-space neural networks: Modeling state-space dynamics with recurrent neural networks. Transp. Res. Rec.: J. Transp. Res. Board 1811, 30–39 (2002)Google Scholar
- 28.Anderson, J., Bell, M.: Travel time estimation in urban road networks. In: IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation System (ITSC’97), vol. 1997, 924–929 (1997)Google Scholar
- 29.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: Hybrid U-TDOA and A-GPS for VehiclePositioning and Tracking. Springer, Berlin, HAIS 2015, LNAI 9121, pp. 1–13, (2015)Google Scholar
- 30.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: Road traffic state estimation famework based on hybrid assisted global positioning system and uplink time difference Of arrival data collection methods. In: AFRICON, 2015. IEEE, p.308 (2015)Google Scholar
- 31.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: A neural network model for road traffic flow Estimation. NaBIC (2015) (in press)Google Scholar
- 32.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: Cellular network based real-time urban road traffic state estimation framework using neural network model estimation. In: IEEE SSCI (2015) (in press)Google Scholar
- 33.Gundlegard, D. and Karlsson, J.M.: Route classification in travel time estimation based on cellular network signaling. In: 12th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2009. (ITSC’09)Google Scholar
- 34.Minh, Q.T. and Kamioka, E.: Pinpoint: An efficient approach to traffic state estimation system using mobile probes. In: 2010 6th International Conference on Wireless Communications Networking and Mobile Computing (WiCOM), pp. 1–5 (2010)Google Scholar
- 35.Ferman, M.A., Blumenfeld, D.E. and Dai. X.: An Analytical Evaluation of a Real-Time Traffic Information System Using Probe Vehicles in Intelligent Transportation Systems. Taylor & Francis, London (2005)Google Scholar
- 36.Ferman, M.A., Blumenfeld, D.E. and Dai. X.: An analytical evaluation of a real-time traffic information system using probe vehicles. Intell. Transp. Syst. 23–34 (2005)Google Scholar
- 37.Manolopoulos, V., Tao, S., Rodriguez, S., Ismail, M., Rusu, A.: MobiTraS: a mobile application for a smart traffic system. In: 8th IEEE. International NEWCAS Conference (NEWCAS), vol. 2010, pp. 365–368 (2010)Google Scholar
- 38.Zhao, Q., Kong, Q.J., Xia, Y. and Liu, Y.: Sample size analysis of GPS probe vehicles for urban traffic state estimation. In: 2011 14th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC) , pp. 272–276 (2011)Google Scholar
- 39.Zheng, F., Van Zuylen, H.: Urban link travel time estimation based on sparse probe vehicle data. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 31, 145–157 (2013)Google Scholar
- 40.Boubaker, S., Rehimi, F. and Kalboussi, A.: Comparative analysis of microscopic models of road traffic data. In: 2011 4th International Conference on Logistics (LOGISTIQUA), pp. 474–478 (2011)Google Scholar
- 41.Zhang, Y. and Liu, Y.: Comparison of Parametric and Nonparametric Techniques for Non-peak Traffic Forecasting. World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology 2009Google Scholar
- 42.Wei, C., Lin, S., Li, Y.: Empirical Validation of Freeway Bus Travel Time Forecasting. Transp. Plan. J. 32, 651–679 (2003)Google Scholar
- 43.Kisgyörg, L., Rilett, L.R.: Travel time prediction by advanced neural network. Civil Eng. 46, 15–32 (2002)Google Scholar
- 44.Ishak, S., Alecsandru, C.: Optimizing traffic prediction performance of neural networks under various topological, input, and traffic condition settings. J. Transp. Eng. 130, 452–465 (2004)Google Scholar
- 45.Habtie, A.B., Ajith, A. and Dida. M.: In-vehicle mobile phone-based road traffic flow estimation: a review. J. Netw. Innov. Comput. 2, pp. 331–358 (2013)Google Scholar
- 46.Topuz. V.: Hourly Traffic Flow Predictions by Different ANN Models, pp. 1–18 (2010)Google Scholar
- 47.Shan, Z., Wang, Y. and Zhu, Q.: Feasibility study of urban road traffic state estimation based on taxi GPS data. In: 2014 IEEE 17th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSC), pp. 2188–2193 (2014)Google Scholar
- 48.Guan, W., Deng, Z., Ge, Y., Zou, D.: A practical TDOA positioning method for CDMA2000 mobile network. In IEEE International Conference on Wireless Communications, Networking and Information Security (WCNIS), vol. 2010, pp. 126–129 (2010)Google Scholar
- 49.Liu, K., Yamamoto, T., Morikawa, T.: Feasibility of using taxi dispatch system as probes for collecting traffic information. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. 13, 16–27 (2009)Google Scholar
- 50.Chen, Y., Gao, L., Li, Z., p. and Liu, Y.C.: A new method for urban traffic state estimation based on vehicle tracking algorithm. In: Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference (ITSC 2007), vol. 2007, pp. 1097–1101. IEEE (2007)Google Scholar
- 51.Quiroga, C.A.: An integrated GPS-GIS methodology for performing travel time studies. No. 98–08771 (1997)Google Scholar
- 52.Kong, Q.J., Li, Z., Chen, Y., Liu, Y.: An approach to urban traffic state estimation by fusing multisource information. Intell. Transp. Syst. 10, 499–511 (2009)Google Scholar
- 53.Qiankun, Z., Qingjie, K., Yingjie, X. and Yuncai, L.: An improved method for estimating urban traffic state via probe vehicle tracking. In: 2011 30th Chinese Control Conference (CCC), pp. 5586–5590 (2011)Google Scholar
- 54.Kong, Q.J., Chen, Y., Liu, Y.: A fusion-based system for road-network traffic state surveillance: a case study of Shanghai. Intell. Transp. Syst. Mag. 1, 37–42 (2009)Google Scholar
- 55.Behrisch, M., Bieker, L., Erdmann, J., Krajzewicz, D.: SUMO-Simulation of Urban MObility-an Overview. In: The Third International Conference on Advances in System Simulation (SIMUL), vol. 2011, pp. 55–60 (2011)Google Scholar
- 56.SUMO: Simulation of Urban Mobility. http://www.dlr.de/ts/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-9901/
- 57.JOSM: Java OSM Editor. https://josm.openstreetmap.de
- 58.Adusei, I.K., Kyamakya, K. and Jobmann, K.: Mobile positioning technologies in cellular networks: an evaluation of their performance metrics. In: Proceedings of the MILCOM 2002, pp. 1239–1244 (2002)Google Scholar
- 59.Scorer, A.: Vehicle Location and Navigation Systems. By Yilin Zhao. Artech House, 1997. 345 pages,£ 65 Hardback. ISBN: 0-89006-861-5. J. Navig. 51, 445–447 (1998)Google Scholar
- 60.Hammerstrom, D.: Neural networks at work. IEEE Spectr. 30, 26–32 (1993)Google Scholar
- 61.Adeoti, O.A., Osanaiye, P.A.: Performance analysis of ANN on dataset allocations for pattern recognition of bivariate process. Math. Theory Model. 2, 53–63 (2012)Google Scholar
- 62.Ranganathan, A.: The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. Tutor. LM Algorithm 11.1, 101–110 (2004)Google Scholar