IFIP International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems

APMS 2015: Advances in Production Management Systems: Innovative Production Management Towards Sustainable Growth pp 167-174 | Cite as

A Mockup Stochastic Program to Study the Impact of Design Uncertainty on ETO Shipbuilding Planning

Conference paper
Part of the IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology book series (IFIPAICT, volume 460)

Abstract

A major driver of planning complexity in dynamically changing ETO shipbuilding is design uncertainty far into the design planning and production processes. This leads to uncertainty in task and project completion time, and complex dependencies and correlations driven by the uncertainty in multiple task parameters. The problem is difficult to be solved exactly, and decision-making is largely based on experience and gut feeling, with subsequent behavioral challenges. We build a mockup stochastic program to draw attention to- and analyze the complexity of formulating and solving the engineering design planning problem. We demonstrate how design uncertainty is affecting the planning complexity and solutions.

Keywords

ETO Project planning Stochastic programming 

Notes

Acknowledgements

This paper is part of the competence building research project NextShip, under Norwegian Research Council grant agreement 216418/O70.

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Copyright information

© IFIP International Federation for Information Processing 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Applied EconomicsSINTEF Technology and SocietyTrondheimNorway

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