Improving Earthquake Prediction with Principal Component Analysis: Application to Chile

  • Gualberto Asencio-Cortés
  • Francisco Martínez-Álvarez
  • Antonio Morales-Esteban
  • Jorge Reyes
  • Alicia Troncoso
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 9121)

Abstract

Increasing attention has been paid to the prediction of earthquakes with data mining techniques during the last decade. Several works have already proposed the use of certain features serving as inputs for supervised classifiers. However, they have been successfully used without any further transformation so far. In this work, the use of principal component analysis to reduce data dimensionality and generate new datasets is proposed. In particular, this step is inserted in a successfully already used methodology to predict earthquakes. Santiago and Pichilemu, two of the cities mostly threatened by large earthquakes occurrence in Chile, are studied. Several well-known classifiers combined with principal component analysis have been used. Noticeable improvement in the results is reported.

Keywords

Earthquake prediction Principal component analysis Time series Data mining 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The financial support from the Junta de Andalucía, under project P12-TIC-1728, and from the Pablo de Olavide University of Seville, under help APPB813097, are acknowledged.

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • Gualberto Asencio-Cortés
    • 1
  • Francisco Martínez-Álvarez
    • 1
  • Antonio Morales-Esteban
    • 2
  • Jorge Reyes
    • 3
  • Alicia Troncoso
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Computer SciencePablo de Olavide UniversitySevilleSpain
  2. 2.Department of Building Structures and Geotechnical EngineeringUniversity of SevilleSevilleSpain
  3. 3.NT2 LabsSantiagoChile

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