A New Empirical Method to Predict Liquefaction-Induced Lateral Spread

  • Nilsun Hasançebi
  • Reşat Ulusay
  • K. Önder Çetin
Conference paper

Abstract

Liquefaction-induced lateral spreading affects large areas and causes considerable damages to overlying structures and buried lifelines at shallow depths. In this study, the world-wide lateral spreading case studies compiled from literature and available records of some institutions were re-evaluated to assess the performance of the current empirical methods and to develop a new empirical method for predicting the magnitude of lateral spreading. The probability-based four empirical models were developed using the maximum likelihood methodology for predicting displacements of (a) a sloping ground, (b) a free face, of a ground (c) with and (d) without slope and free face, and their prediction performances were compared with those of the existing models.

Keywords

Lateral spreading Liquefaction Empirical method Maximum likelihood method 

References

  1. Al Bawwab WM (2005) Probabilistic assessment of liquefaction-induced lateral ground deformations, PhD thesis, Middle East Technical UniversityGoogle Scholar
  2. Bardet JP, Mace N, Tobita T, Hu J (1999) Large-scale modeling of liquefaction-induced ground deformation part I: a four parameter MLR model. In: Proceedings of the 7th U.S.–Japan workshop on earthquake resistant design of lifeline facilities and countermeasures against soil liquefaction, pp 155–173Google Scholar
  3. Hamada M (2008) Personal communication. Waseda University Tokyo, JapanGoogle Scholar
  4. Hamada M, Yashuda S, Isoyama R, Emoto K (1986) Study on liquefaction induced permanent ground displacements, Association for the development of earthquake prediction in Japan, pp 1, 87Google Scholar
  5. Hasancebi N (2011) Assessment of liquefaction-induced lateral spread displacement. PhD thesis, Hacettepe University, AnkaraGoogle Scholar
  6. Rauch AF (1997) EPOLLS: an emprical method for predicting surface displacement due to liquefaction-induced lateral spreading in earthquakes, PhD thesis, Virginia Polytechnic InstituteGoogle Scholar
  7. Shamoto Y, Tokimatsu K, Zhang L (1998) New charts for predicting large residual post-liquefaction ground deformations. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 17:427–438CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. Youd TL, Perkins DM (1987) Mapping liquefaction severity index. J Geotech Eng ASCE 113(11):1374–1392CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. Youd TL, Hansen CM, Bartlett SF (2002) Revised multilinear regression equations for prediction of lateral spread displacement. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng ASCE 128(12):1007–1017CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2015

Authors and Affiliations

  • Nilsun Hasançebi
    • 1
  • Reşat Ulusay
    • 2
  • K. Önder Çetin
    • 3
  1. 1.EnerjiSA Power Generation Co.AnkaraTurkey
  2. 2.Department of Geological EngineeringHacetepe UniversityAnkaraTurkey
  3. 3.Department of Civil EngineeringMiddle East Technical UniversityAnkaraTurkey

Personalised recommendations